PEGA Pegasystems Inc Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

PEGA in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026

PEGA moved above its 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 26 of 35 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 44 of 68 cases where PEGA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.

Following a +4.52% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PEGA advanced for three days, in 217 of 315 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for PEGA moved out of overbought territory on September 15, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 35 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 27 of the 35 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 77%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 24, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PEGA as a result. In 64 of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PEGA turned negative on September 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 39 of the 52 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 75%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PEGA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.

PEGA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 27, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for PEGA entered a downward trend on October 02, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 19 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 53 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (9.747) is normal, around the industry mean (51.456). P/E Ratio (18.881) is within average values for comparable stocks, (82.636). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.989) is also within normal values, averaging (3.135). Dividend Yield (0.004) settles around the average of (0.011) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.814) is also within normal values, averaging (69.875).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. PEGA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. PEGA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 95, placing this stock worse than average.