Palantir is an artificial intelligence, analytics, and automated decision-making company that leverages data to drive efficiency across its clients' organizations... Show more
Palantir Technologies Inc. is a data analytics and artificial intelligence software company that builds platforms for governments and commercial enterprises. Its core products include Gotham, Foundry, Apollo, and the Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP), which help organizations integrate data, deploy AI models, and act on operational decisions. The company has positioned itself around "AI sovereignty," or giving customers control over their own data, logic, and model outputs rather than relying on third-party AI labs. With a market capitalization near $454 billion, Palantir is one of Wall Street's most closely watched AI software names, and investors track it closely for signs of accelerating commercial adoption and government demand.
Over the last 30 days, PLTR rose from a closing price of $170.30 on September 8, 2026, to $198.78 on October 8, 2026, a gain of approximately 16.7%. The move was not a straight line: the stock consolidated in the $165–$175 range through mid-September before a steady climb into the high $190s in early October.
The quarterly picture is even stronger. In early July, shares traded near $132, meaning the stock has advanced roughly 50% over the trailing three-month period. A large portion of that gain came in a single session: following its Q2 earnings report on August 3, the stock jumped about 29% on August 4, gapping from roughly $126 to the low $160s before consolidating and then resuming its upward trend.
The most direct catalyst for the 30-day advance was a Goldman Sachs upgrade on October 8, 2026. The firm lifted its rating on Palantir to Buy from Neutral with a 12-month price target of $230, citing demand for sovereign AI and customized enterprise applications that could meaningfully expand the company's addressable market. The upgrade helped push shares up about 2.4% on the day to close at $198.78.
Supporting that move was a series of infrastructure partnerships tied to the sovereign-AI theme. On September 8, Palantir named Nebius its preferred sovereign AI infrastructure partner, and on October 1 it named Armada its inaugural Certified Modular Data Center Partner, pairing its Sovereign AI Operating System with Armada's modular data centers. These announcements reinforced the narrative that Palantir is extending its reach beyond software into AI infrastructure for government and enterprise clients.
Broader AI-sector momentum and continued follow-through from the company's strong Q2 results also supported sentiment during the period.
The dominant driver of the quarterly gain was Palantir's second-quarter 2026 earnings report, released on August 3. The company delivered revenue of $1.935 billion, up 93% year over year and ahead of the roughly $1.81 billion consensus, while adjusted earnings per share of $0.41 beat the approximately $0.34 estimate. U.S. commercial revenue surged 149% to $764 million, U.S. government revenue rose 90% to $809 million, and GAAP net income reached $1.06 billion at a 55% margin.
Management raised full-year 2026 revenue guidance to $8.150–$8.158 billion, implying roughly 82% growth, and lifted its U.S. commercial and free-cash-flow outlooks as well. Adjusted free cash flow reached $1.22 billion, and net dollar retention climbed to 157%. The report, alongside a June collaboration with NVIDIA (NVDA) to run open AI models in customer-controlled environments and ongoing Maven-related government momentum, reframed the stock's narrative around accelerating, profitable AI growth rather than deceleration.
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The next major catalyst is Palantir's third-quarter 2026 earnings report, expected in early November, where the company has guided revenue of $2.160–$2.164 billion. Investors will focus on whether U.S. commercial growth remains in triple digits, whether full-year guidance is raised again, and whether the pace of large-deal bookings holds up.
Beyond earnings, key factors to monitor include the sustainability of the sovereign-AI demand cycle, the company's heavy concentration in the U.S. market (which accounts for more than 80% of revenue), and potential government budget or policy shifts. Valuation is another central concern: the stock trades at a premium on forward earnings and sales multiples, leaving it sensitive to any growth disappointment or multiple compression. Competition from larger cloud and AI providers and ongoing stock-based compensation dilution are additional considerations. Analyst views remain broadly constructive, with a mean price target near $200 and Goldman Sachs at $230, though a wide spread of estimates reflects genuine debate about how much future growth is already priced in.
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PLTR saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on September 21, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 84 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 76 of the 84 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 90%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PLTR just turned positive on October 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where PLTR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 42 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.
The 50-day moving average for PLTR moved above the 200-day moving average on September 09, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a +7.69% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PLTR advanced for three days, in 284 of 329 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 237 of 278 cases where PLTR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 85%.
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PLTR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
PLTR broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 27 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PLTR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 92 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (46.083) is normal, around the industry mean (17.861). P/E Ratio (160.239) is within average values for comparable stocks, (159.605). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.805) is also within normal values, averaging (3.648). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.004) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (72.993) is also within normal values, averaging (104.490).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Industry ComputerCommunications