Pool Corporation (POOL) has been in a pronounced downtrend over the past year, shedding roughly 35% from its 52-week high of 345.00. Year-to-date, the stock is down about 12%, with a 1-month decline of 7%. The chart reflects broader market pressures in the leisure and construction sectors, manifesting as lower highs and a descent toward the 52-week low of 195.49. Recent price action over the last 30 days shows consolidation near 200.00-210.00 following a pivot bottom in late March, where a buy signal emerged. Over the last quarter, POOL tested multiple support zones amid declining volume, indicating waning seller conviction but no clear reversal yet.
Traders are eyeing key support at the 52-week low of 195.49, with additional accumulated volume support around 205.00 and short-term moving average backing near 203.00. A stop-loss level is noted at 200.00. On the upside, resistance clusters at the long-term moving average near 211.00-214.00, followed by volume resistance at 218.00. A break above 211.38 could signal short-term strength, while a drop below 200.00 may accelerate the downtrend.
Moving averages present a mixed picture. Short-term simple and exponential MAs (5-100 day) all signal buy, with the price trading above MA5 (209.44), MA20 (205.13), and MA50 (202.77). However, the 200-day EMA at 211.92 issues a sell signal, as the longer-term average remains overhead. This configuration underscores the prevailing downtrend, with the stock below the 200-day SMA (208.15, buy on simple but sell on exponential), reinforcing caution for bulls.
Momentum shows short-term bullish divergence. RSI(14) at 63.35 indicates buy territory, not yet overbought. MACD(12,26) at 2.09 confirms buy, supported by a 3-month MACD buy signal. Stochastic(9,6) at 79.78 (buy) borders overbought per Williams %R (-18.50), while CCI(14) at 80.96 adds buy conviction. ADX(14) at 22.56 remains neutral, suggesting no strong trend dominance yet.
Recent sessions show volume below the average of 822k shares (e.g., 594k on a 4% up day), indicating limited conviction in moves. This divergence—rising price on falling volume—warrants close monitoring, as it often precedes pullbacks in downtrends. No major spikes noted, aligning with sideways consolidation post-March pivot.
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Traders watch for a decisive break above 211.00-214.00 resistance to challenge the downtrend, potentially targeting 218.00 volume zones. Failure here could see retests of 200.00 support or the 195.49 low. Monitor RSI for overbought conditions above 70 and MACD for crossover shifts. Volume pickup on upside moves would bolster bullish cases, while sustained below-average activity favors continuation lower. Key levels include support at 195.49-205.00 and resistance at 211.00-218.00.
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A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, POOL has been loosely correlated with SITE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 54% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if POOL jumps, then SITE could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To POOL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| POOL | 100% | -1.70% | ||
| SITE - POOL | 54% Loosely correlated | -3.19% | ||
| WSO - POOL | 47% Loosely correlated | -0.97% | ||
| BXC - POOL | 46% Loosely correlated | -3.54% | ||
| FERG - POOL | 46% Loosely correlated | -0.45% | ||
| QXO - POOL | 40% Loosely correlated | -5.74% | ||
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| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To POOL | 1D Price Change % |
|---|---|---|
| POOL | 100% | -1.70% |
| Electronics Distributors industry (22 stocks) | 58% Loosely correlated | -1.35% |