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Vitalii Liubimov's Avatar
published in Blogs
Oct 16, 2023

$MRNA, $ALNY, $GMAB, $BGNE, $ROIV, $HALO, and $PCVX: Biotech sector stocks that have fallen by over 10% in the past month.

Some biotech sector stocks have experienced more significant declines in the past month compared to the overall market, with drops exceeding 10%. For quick trade insights, you can subscribe to our robots at Swing-Trader-High-Volatility-Stocks-for-Active-Trading-TA-FA.

The group's average market capitalization is $21.3 billion, ranging from $7.9 billion (ROIV) to $37.4 billion (MRNA).

In terms of price performance, the average weekly change was -4.48%, monthly change was -12.29%, and quarterly change was -13.57%. Notably, BGNE had the highest weekly price growth at 2.82%, while GMAB experienced the largest decline at -8.22%.

Regarding trading volume, the group had an average weekly volume growth of 19.56%. Monthly volume growth averaged 22.22%, and quarterly volume growth averaged 48.52%.

In terms of fundamental analysis ratings (scale: 1 to 100, with 1 being the best and 100 being the worst):

  • Valuation Rating: 74
  • P/E Growth Rating: 76
  • Price Growth Rating: 65
  • SMR Rating: 77
  • Profit Risk Rating: 70

The Seasonality Score is 25 on a scale of -100 to +100.

MRNA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone on October 12, 2023, signaling a potential bearish trend with a 90% likelihood of a decline.

  • MRNA Current price: $98.30; trading between $175.56 resistance and $69.57 support lines. It experienced a -9% Downtrend in the month of 09/13/23 - 10/13/23, with a -5% weekly fall.

GMAB's MACD Histogram turned negative on October 12, 2023, suggesting a potential stock decline with a 69% probability.

  • GMAB Current price: $32.28; below the $33.91 lowest support line. It faced an -11% Downtrend in the month of 09/13/23 - 10/13/23, dropping -8% weekly.

BGNE's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone on October 05, 2023, indicating a potential shift from a downtrend to an uptrend with an 82% probability.

  • BGNE Current price: $178.79; below the $239.67 lowest resistance line. It experienced an -11% Downtrend in the month of 09/13/23 - 10/13/23, but showed a +3% Uptrend in the week of 10/06/23 - 10/13/23.

ROIV's RSI Oscillator moved out of the overbought zone on September 28, 2023, hinting at a possible shift from an uptrend to a downtrend with a 78% chance of a decline.

  • ROIV Current price: $10.08; above the $8.59 highest resistance line. It faced a -10% Downtrend during the month of 09/13/23 - 10/13/23 and declined -7% weekly.

HALO's Momentum Indicator turned negative on September 26, 2023, suggesting a new potential downward trend with a 69% likelihood.

  • HALO Current price: $36.55; below the $39.43 lowest support line. It experienced an -11% Downtrend during the month of 09/13/23 - 10/13/23 and fell -2% weekly.

PCVX's Stochastic Oscillator has been in the oversold zone for 1 day, indicating a potential upcoming price bounce.

  • PCVX Current price: $46.00; trading between $61.37 resistance and $23.75 support lines. It experienced an -11% Downtrend during the month of 09/13/23 - 10/13/23 and declined -6% weekly.
Related Ticker: HALO, PCVX, MRNA, GMAB, BGNE, ROIV

HALO in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on January 06, 2025

HALO moved above its 50-day moving average on January 06, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 27 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on January 03, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on HALO as a result. In of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HALO advanced for three days, in of 310 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The 50-day moving average for HALO moved below the 200-day moving average on December 31, 2024. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HALO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

HALO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on January 06, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. HALO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (15.408) is normal, around the industry mean (14.744). P/E Ratio (18.146) is within average values for comparable stocks, (88.252). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.853). HALO has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.013). P/S Ratio (7.513) is also within normal values, averaging (264.079).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:REGN), Incyte Corp (NASDAQ:INCY), Moderna (NASDAQ:MRNA), Sarepta Therapeutics (NASDAQ:SRPT), Exelixis (NASDAQ:EXEL), Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:ARWR), BioCryst Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:BCRX), Novavax (NASDAQ:NVAX), Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp (NASDAQ:ADPT), Nektar Therapeutics (NASDAQ:NKTR).

Industry description

Biotechnology involves genetic or protein engineering to produce medicines/therapies for treating and preventing ailments. The industry also provides crucial ingredients for diagnostics. This multi-billion-dollar industry is heavily focused on research and development, as companies attempt to continually come up with cutting-edge solutions for health. New discoveries for the treatment of diseases provide opportunities for growth for a company in this industry. Discoveries, however, must pass the regulatory approval from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) before they can make it to markets. Amgen Inc., Gilead Sciences, Inc. and Celgene Corporation are examples of companies in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Biotechnology Industry is 2.37B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 151 to 368.92B. NONOF holds the highest valuation in this group at 368.92B. The lowest valued company is MYMX at 151.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Biotechnology Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 3%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2%. MMIRF experienced the highest price growth at 498%, while SEELQ experienced the biggest fall at -95%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Biotechnology Industry was -30%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -51% and the average quarterly volume growth was 97%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 85
Price Growth Rating: 63
SMR Rating: 94
Profit Risk Rating: 94
Seasonality Score: 14 (-100 ... +100)
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