SFNC Simmons First National Corp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 20, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SFNC as a result. In 40 of 78 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 51%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SFNC just turned positive on October 20, 2026. Looking at past instances where SFNC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 27 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.

SFNC moved above its 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +2.42% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SFNC advanced for three days, in 174 of 292 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 6 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SFNC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

SFNC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for SFNC entered a downward trend on October 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 15 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SFNC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 96 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.970) is normal, around the industry mean (1.271). P/E Ratio (-8.592) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.491). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.590) is also within normal values, averaging (1.190). Dividend Yield (0.037) settles around the average of (0.035) among similar stocks. SFNC's P/S Ratio (20.534) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (3.738).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SFNC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 57, placing this stock worse than average.