Skillz Inc is a two-sided mobile gaming platform that connects developers with competitive players... Show more
Skillz Inc. operates a leading mobile esports platform that enables developers to integrate skill-based competition into games, fostering social engagement and monetization through entry fees. The company holds competitive advantages in patented technology for fair matchmaking and anti-cheat systems, alongside its Aarki ad-tech subsidiary leveraging AI for user acquisition (UA). With high gross margins around 88%, Skillz benefits from a scalable model where it takes a cut of tournament fees. Recent acquisitions like Beamable's backend tools in February 2026 expand developer capabilities, positioning Skillz to capture share in a fragmented market. However, reliance on a concentrated developer base and rising UA costs amid competition from free-to-play giants present structural challenges. Medium-term, focus on AI-driven features and partnerships like NFL aims to diversify and strengthen market positioning.
Skillz faces several pivotal events. The Q1 2026 earnings on May 7 will highlight revenue trends following 2025's $104.5 million topline and Q4 growth of 67% year-over-year, with focus on adjusted EBITDA progress and guidance updates. Pro SDK rollout starting Q2 2026 at GDC promises greater developer control and monetization, potentially accelerating game launches. Ongoing partnerships and AI ad-tech enhancements via Aarki could drive user growth. Analyst revisions remain key; recent consensus shows neutral stance with $2.50 average target from two firms (MarketWatch), though Wedbush holds $15 outlier. Debt restructuring discussions for 2026 maturities may impact sentiment if cash reserves ($194.5M end-2025) prove insufficient. Positive surprises in engagement metrics could shift investor views toward optimism.
The skill gaming sector is poised for robust growth, with market size expected to rise from approximately $52.7 billion in 2026 to $121.6 billion by 2034 at 11% CAGR, fueled by mobile adoption and esports popularity. Skillz's model aligns with this, emphasizing competition over chance-based gambling. Macro headwinds include elevated interest rates curbing discretionary spending on in-app purchases, as gaming is consumer-sensitive. Inflation erodes UA efficiency, while geopolitical tensions could disrupt ad supply chains. Tailwinds from tech adoption like AI personalization and 5G-enhanced multiplayer experiences support platform scalability. Regulatory scrutiny on skill vs. chance games remains a risk, but favorable U.S. precedents bolster Skillz's positioning.
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In 2026, Skillz eyes revenue stabilization around $116 million per analyst estimates, with EPS improvement amid cost controls. Key themes include SDK-driven developer expansion, AI ad-tech scaling via Aarki, and margin sustainability targeting positive EBITDA. Market opportunities lie in emerging esports and global mobile penetration, though competitive threats from Big Tech and regulatory evolution (e.g., gambling distinctions) loom. Capital allocation prioritizes debt management and UA investment, supported by $194 million cash. Consensus expects 12.6% annual revenue growth and 27.5% earnings growth, reflecting cautious optimism on platform evolution. Long-term, transitions to unified backend tools and branded partnerships could redefine competitive dynamics.
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a blank check company, which intends to effect a merger, capital stock exchange, asset acquisition, stock purchase, and reorganization
Industry ElectronicsAppliances
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A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SKLZ has been loosely correlated with COIN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 64% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SKLZ jumps, then COIN could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SKLZ | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SKLZ | 100% | -4.43% | ||
| COIN - SKLZ | 64% Loosely correlated | -0.41% | ||
| CLSK - SKLZ | 62% Loosely correlated | +1.92% | ||
| RIOT - SKLZ | 61% Loosely correlated | +1.80% | ||
| HOOD - SKLZ | 51% Loosely correlated | +1.04% | ||
| COMP - SKLZ | 42% Loosely correlated | +1.66% | ||
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| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SKLZ | 1D Price Change % |
|---|---|---|
| SKLZ | 100% | -4.43% |
| Electronics/Appliances industry (23 stocks) | 14% Poorly correlated | +1.12% |
| Consumer Durables industry (221 stocks) | 2% Poorly correlated | +0.87% |
The 10-day RSI Indicator for SKLZ moved out of overbought territory on June 03, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 21 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 21 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 12, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SKLZ as a result. In of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SKLZ turned negative on June 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SKLZ declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
SKLZ broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
The 50-day moving average for SKLZ moved above the 200-day moving average on June 03, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SKLZ advanced for three days, in of 234 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 142 cases where SKLZ Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SKLZ’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.318) is normal, around the industry mean (6.665). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.104). SKLZ's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.192). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.041) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.197) is also within normal values, averaging (2.230).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SKLZ’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.