Snowflake Inc (SNOW) Stock Price, Chart, Fundamentals & AI Forecast
Founded in 2012, Snowflake is a fully managed platform that consolidates data hosted on different public clouds for centralized analytics and governance... Show more
Snowflake (SNOW) Q4 Fiscal 2026 Earnings Recap: Revenue Surges 30% Amid AI Momentum
Key Takeaways
- Snowflake reported Q4 fiscal 2026 total revenue of $1.28 billion, up 30% year-over-year, beating consensus estimates of $1.25-$1.26 billion.
- Non-GAAP EPS came in at $0.32, surpassing expectations of $0.27.
- Product revenue reached $1.23 billion, also up 30% YoY, with net retention rate steady at 125%.
- Remaining performance obligations (RPO) grew 42% to $9.77 billion; customer base expanded with 733 accounts over $1M in trailing 12-month product revenue, up 27% YoY.
- FY2027 guidance projects product revenue of $5.66 billion (27% growth) and non-GAAP operating margin of 12.5%.
- Shares rose over 5% intraday on February 25 but dipped in after-hours trading amid mixed views on guidance.
Earnings Context and Why It Matters
Snowflake's Q4 fiscal 2026 results, for the period ended January 31, 2026, underscore its position as a leader in the AI Data Cloud amid intensifying competition in cloud data warehousing. Investors closely watched for sustained growth in product revenue and progress toward profitability, following a year of robust AI-driven demand. With full-year revenue hitting $4.68 billion (up 29% YoY), the report highlights expanding adoption by enterprises leveraging Snowflake for AI workloads. Key metrics like RPO and net retention signal strong future revenue visibility, critical for valuing this high-growth stock in a market sensitive to tech spending trends and margin expansion.
Earnings Expectations or Reported Results
Snowflake delivered Q4 fiscal 2026 results that exceeded Wall Street consensus. Total revenue totaled $1.28 billion, a 30% increase from $986.8 million a year earlier, topping estimates of approximately $1.25 billion. Product revenue, the core metric, rose 30% to $1.23 billion. Non-GAAP diluted EPS was $0.32, beating the $0.27 forecast, while GAAP net loss per share narrowed to $0.90 from $0.99 YoY. Key operating metrics shone: net revenue retention rate held at 125%, RPO surged 42% to $9.77 billion, and large customers (>$1M TTM product revenue) grew 27% to 733. Non-GAAP operating margin reached 11%, with adjusted free cash flow margin at 61% for the quarter. Full-year product revenue was $4.47 billion, up 29%.
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Market Reaction and Investor Sentiment
Snowflake's shares climbed more than 5% during trading on February 25, 2026, reflecting approval of the earnings beat, closing at $169.21. However, after-hours trading saw a reversal, with shares dipping around 2-3% as some investors digested FY2027 guidance implying 27% growth—slightly below recent acceleration—and a Q1 non-GAAP operating margin of 9%. Sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, buoyed by AI momentum and record deals, but tempered by profitability timelines and broader tech sector dynamics.+stock+falls+on+Q4+2026+Earnings)
Forward Outlook and Key Factors to Monitor
Following Q4 results, Snowflake issued FY2027 guidance signaling continued expansion: product revenue of $5.66 billion (27% YoY growth at midpoint), non-GAAP product gross margin of 75%, operating income margin of 12.5%, and adjusted free cash flow margin of 23%. Q1 FY2027 product revenue is projected at $1.262-$1.267 billion (27% growth). Investors should track execution on AI Data Cloud adoption, including uptake of Cortex AI and partnerships like those fueling record $400 million deals. RPO growth to $9.77 billion provides backlog visibility, but watch net retention rate for consumption trends amid economic uncertainty. Margin pressures from AI infrastructure investments warrant attention, alongside customer expansion—particularly Forbes Global 2000 additions (now 790, up 5%) and large-account momentum. Upcoming catalysts include Q1 results in May 2026, further AI product launches, and competitive positioning against hyperscalers. Broader cloud spending and enterprise AI budgets will influence demand signals, while cost discipline supports path to GAAP profitability.
Disclaimer
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SNOW's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SNOW turned positive on February 25, 2026. Looking at past instances where SNOW's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SNOW's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 29 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 61 cases where SNOW's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SNOW advanced for three days, in of 330 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
SNOW may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on February 23, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SNOW as a result. In of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The 50-day moving average for SNOW moved below the 200-day moving average on February 06, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SNOW declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for SNOW entered a downward trend on March 03, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. SNOW’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (26.596) is normal, around the industry mean (10.732). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (73.752). SNOW's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (5.601) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.890). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.033) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (12.658) is also within normal values, averaging (53.528).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SNOW’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 95, placing this stock worse than average.
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