SPSC SPS Commerce Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

SPSC sees its 50-day moving average cross bullishly above its 200-day moving average

The 50-day moving average for SPSC moved above the 200-day moving average on September 01, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 29, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SPSC as a result. In 54 of 90 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.

Following a +2.50% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPSC advanced for three days, in 223 of 320 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 104 of 173 cases where SPSC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 60%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for SPSC moved out of overbought territory on September 01, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 19 of the 28 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 68%.

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SPSC turned negative on September 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 27 of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 61%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPSC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

SPSC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 01, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SPSC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 76 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 86 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.108) is normal, around the industry mean (51.456). P/E Ratio (38.986) is within average values for comparable stocks, (82.636). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (5.470) is also within normal values, averaging (3.135). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.011) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.905) is also within normal values, averaging (69.875).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SPSC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.