TAL TAL Education Group Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

TAL's RSI Indicator recovers from overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Oscillator for TAL moved out of overbought territory on August 11, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 25 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In 21 of the 25 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at 84%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TAL turned negative on September 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 55 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 46 of the 55 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 84%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TAL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 11, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TAL as a result. In 78 of 102 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.

The 50-day moving average for TAL moved above the 200-day moving average on September 02, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a +3.23% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TAL advanced for three days, in 220 of 268 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 99 of 127 cases where TAL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 78%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TAL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 92 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.606) is normal, around the industry mean (2.166). P/E Ratio (7.397) is within average values for comparable stocks, (20.372). TAL's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.746) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.008). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.053) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.090) is also within normal values, averaging (27.560).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.