TCOM Trip.com Group Limited Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

TCOM in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on September 09, 2026

TCOM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 32 of 40 cases where TCOM's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TCOM's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 20 of 30 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 22, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TCOM as a result. In 58 of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TCOM just turned positive on September 22, 2026. Looking at past instances where TCOM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 37 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

Following a +3.45% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TCOM advanced for three days, in 218 of 307 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

TCOM moved below its 50-day moving average on September 01, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for TCOM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 08, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TCOM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.

The Aroon Indicator for TCOM entered a downward trend on September 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 52 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.077) is normal, around the industry mean (24.071). P/E Ratio (7.850) is within average values for comparable stocks, (53.094). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.911) is also within normal values, averaging (1.605). Dividend Yield (0.005) settles around the average of (0.024) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.767) is also within normal values, averaging (6.472).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 54 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 79 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. TCOM’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 80 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TCOM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.