On Wednesday, February 22, investors will be paying close attention to the earnings report from TJX Companies Inc., the parent company of popular retailers such as TJ Maxx, Marshalls, and HomeGoods. Analysts are forecasting earnings of $1.21 per share, which would represent a slight increase from the same period last year.
However, recent market trends indicate that TJX's stock may be headed for a rough patch. On February 16, the stock moved below its 50-day moving average, which is often used as a key indicator of a stock's short-term trend. This move below the 50-day moving average signals a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
In fact, according to historical data from the past 54 instances when TJX moved below its 50-day moving average, the stock price decreased further within the following month in 39 of those instances. This means that the odds of a continued downward trend are estimated to be around 72%.
However, the stock price can drop more in the near future if TJX's earnings report and guidance fall short of expectations. When determining whether to purchase, sell, or retain their investments in TJX, investors must carefully consider the potential risks and benefits.
TJX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on January 27, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In of the 50 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on February 14, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TJX as a result. In of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TJX turned negative on February 14, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
TJX moved below its 50-day moving average on February 20, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TJX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
The 10-day moving average for TJX crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on January 30, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TJX advanced for three days, in of 332 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 315 cases where TJX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TJX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: TJX's P/B Ratio (15.552) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (3.964). P/E Ratio (25.829) is within average values for comparable stocks, (110.742). TJX's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.591) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.444). Dividend Yield (0.013) settles around the average of (0.028) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.131) is also within normal values, averaging (1.139).
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a chain of retail apparels and home fashions stores
Industry ApparelFootwearRetail