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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 18, 2019

Fed is turning dovish, according to Bloomberg survey

According to a new Bloomberg survey of economists, the Federal Reserve is likely to end the current rate-hike cycle with one more rate hike this year.

The median of responses in the March 13-15 poll predicted one rate hike in September. In December, the poll had forecasted two 2019 hikes.

The latest survey reveals that economists are expecting the current hiking cycle to top off at 2.75 percent upper-end of the target policy rate range; that figure is lower compared to the survey’s previous forecast of 3.25 percent.  

The Fed left rates unchanged this month.

Related Ticker: TLH

TLH in upward trend: 10-day moving average crossed above 50-day moving average on June 23, 2025

The 10-day moving average for TLH crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on June 23, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TLH's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 49 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 04, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TLH as a result. In of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TLH just turned positive on May 29, 2025. Looking at past instances where TLH's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

TLH moved above its 50-day moving average on June 17, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TLH advanced for three days, in of 295 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 178 cases where TLH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TLH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

TLH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 12, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Industry description

The investment seeks to track the investment results of the ICE® U.S. Treasury 10-20 Year Bond Index. The fund will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of the underlying index, and the fund will invest at least 90% of its assets in U.S. Treasury securities that the advisor believes will help the fund track the underlying index. It seeks to track the investment results of the underlying index which measures the performance of public obligations of the U.S. Treasury that have a remaining maturity of greater than or equal to ten years and less than twenty years.
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