TLYS Tilly's Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

TLYS in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on September 22, 2026

TLYS moved above its 50-day moving average on September 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 33 of 42 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 30, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TLYS as a result. In 57 of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TLYS just turned positive on September 29, 2026. Looking at past instances where TLYS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

The 10-day moving average for TLYS crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 08, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.

Following a +12.18% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TLYS advanced for three days, in 193 of 256 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for TLYS moved out of overbought territory on September 15, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 20 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 18 of the 20 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 90%.

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TLYS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.

TLYS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 11, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TLYS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.573) is normal, around the industry mean (3.366). P/E Ratio (74.500) is within average values for comparable stocks, (154.317). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.030) is also within normal values, averaging (0.517). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.013) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.229) is also within normal values, averaging (0.652).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 88 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TLYS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock worse than average.