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TMP
Stock ticker: NASDAQ
AS OF
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Price
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Capitalization
794.45M

TMP Tompkins Financial Corp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

a regional bank

Industry RegionalBanks
Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for TMP with price predictions
07:00 PM EST Dec 05, 2023

Momentum Indicator for TMP turns positive, indicating new upward trend

TMP saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on December 01, 2023. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 94 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 94 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TMP just turned positive on December 04, 2023. Looking at past instances where TMP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 54 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

TMP moved above its 50-day moving average on November 02, 2023 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for TMP crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 03, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TMP advanced for three days, in of 242 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 231 cases where TMP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for TMP moved out of overbought territory on November 16, 2023. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 19 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 19 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TMP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

TMP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on December 04, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. TMP’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.301) is normal, around the industry mean (1.018). P/E Ratio (57.588) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.469). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.350). Dividend Yield (0.043) settles around the average of (0.045) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.640) is also within normal values, averaging (2.587).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TMP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock worse than average.

A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Itau Unibanco Holding SA (NASDAQ:ITUB), US Bancorp (NASDAQ:USB), PNC Financial Services Group (NASDAQ:PNC), Banco Bradesco SA (NASDAQ:BBD), Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft (NASDAQ:DB), Huntington Bancshares (NASDAQ:HBAN), Regions Financial Corp (NASDAQ:RF), KeyCorp (NASDAQ:KEY), Veritex Holdings (NASDAQ:VBTX).

Industry description

Regional banks have a smaller reach than major banks, and cater mostly to one region of a country, such as a state or within a group of states. They offer services often similar – albeit with some limitations/smaller scale – compared to major banks. Taking deposits, making loans, mortgages, leases, credit cards , fund management, insurance and investment banking. SunTrust Banks, State Street Corp., M&T Bank Corp. are some examples of U.S. regional banks.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Regional Banks Industry is 5.57B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 10.73K to 139.25B. HDB holds the highest valuation in this group at 139.25B. The lowest valued company is ACBCQ at 10.73K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Regional Banks Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 4%, and the average quarterly price growth was 5%. SIVBQ experienced the highest price growth at 151%, while FRCB experienced the biggest fall at -23%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Regional Banks Industry was -18%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 37% and the average quarterly volume growth was 0%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 65
Price Growth Rating: 49
SMR Rating: 37
Profit Risk Rating: 79
Seasonality Score: 26 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

TMP is expected to report earnings to fall 153.19% to $1.25 per share on January 26

Tompkins Financial Corp TMP Stock Earnings Reports
Q4'23
Est.
$1.25
Q3'23
Missed
by $3.44
Q2'23
Missed
by $0.48
Q1'23
Est.
$1.35
Q4'22
Missed
by $0.06
The last earnings report on October 27 showed earnings per share of -234 cents, missing the estimate of $1.09. With 56.64K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 794.45M.
A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

TMP paid dividends on November 15, 2023

Tompkins Financial Corp TMP Stock Dividends
А dividend of $0.60 per share was paid with a record date of November 15, 2023, and an ex-dividend date of November 06, 2023. Read more...
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a regional bank

Industry RegionalBanks

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Regional Banks
Address
118 East Seneca Street
Phone
+1 888 503-5753
Employees
1072
Web
https://www.tompkinsfinancial.com
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TMP and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TMP has been closely correlated with RNST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TMP jumps, then RNST could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To TMP
1D Price
Change %
TMP100%
-0.49%
RNST - TMP
85%
Closely correlated
+1.26%
UVSP - TMP
85%
Closely correlated
+0.10%
LBAI - TMP
85%
Closely correlated
-0.46%
FRME - TMP
84%
Closely correlated
+1.38%
PFS - TMP
84%
Closely correlated
-0.43%
More

Groups containing TMP

Correlation & Price change

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To TMP
1D Price
Change %
TMP100%
-0.49%
TMP
(undefined stocks)
90%
Closely correlated
+0.16%
regional banks
(undefined stocks)
84%
Closely correlated
+0.15%
banks
(undefined stocks)
84%
Closely correlated
+0.05%