TMP Tompkins Financial Corp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

TMP moved below its 50-day moving average on October 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for TMP crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 29, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TMP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 54%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 33 of 52 cases where TMP's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 15, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TMP as a result. In 54 of 85 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.

Following a +2.74% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TMP advanced for three days, in 170 of 277 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.

TMP may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 19 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TMP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 56, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 66 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.464) is normal, around the industry mean (1.323). P/E Ratio (7.989) is within average values for comparable stocks, (23.509). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.310) is also within normal values, averaging (1.190). Dividend Yield (0.027) settles around the average of (0.030) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.373) is also within normal values, averaging (3.738).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 81 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.