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TOL Stock Tickeron detected bearish Stock Pattern: Cup-and-Handle Inverse TOL on October 09, 2024, netting in a 0.11% gain over 2 weeks

A.I.dvisor
at Tickeron.com
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+0.11% Gain from a Successful pattern Cup-and-Handle Inverse
TOL - Toll Brothers
Tickeron
Ticker: TOL
Company: Toll Brothers
Gain from shortening: +0.11%
Confirmed: 10/09/24
Succeeded: 10/28/24
Total length: 19 days
On October 09, 2024, A.I.dvisor detected a Cup-and-Handle Inverse Pattern (Bearish) for Toll Brothers (TOL, $150.85). On October 09, 2024, A.I.dvisor confirmed the Bearish pattern, setting a target price of the stock. On October 28, 2024, the stock hit the target price of $144.88 – resulting in a gain for traders who shorted the stock on the pattern detection date.

TOL's RSI Indicator recovers from overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Oscillator for TOL moved out of overbought territory on October 21, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 42 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 72 cases where TOL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TOL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

TOL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 08, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 05, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TOL as a result. In of 88 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TOL just turned positive on November 07, 2024. Looking at past instances where TOL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 53 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

TOL moved above its 50-day moving average on November 05, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for TOL crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 06, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TOL advanced for three days, in of 329 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 357 cases where TOL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 57, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TOL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.900) is normal, around the industry mean (7.196). P/E Ratio (9.918) is within average values for comparable stocks, (103.177). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.006) is also within normal values, averaging (1.437). TOL has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.007) as compared to the industry average of (0.044). P/S Ratio (1.380) is also within normal values, averaging (88.859).

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General Information

a designer of single family homes

Industry Homebuilding

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Homebuilding
Address
1140 Virginia Drive
Phone
+1 215 938-8000
Employees
4800
Web
https://www.tollbrothers.com