TUYA Tuya Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

TUYA sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

TUYA saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on September 10, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 44 of the 50 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 88%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 10, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TUYA as a result. In 70 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.

The 10-day moving average for TUYA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 14 of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TUYA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TUYA's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 33 of 40 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 48 of 67 cases where TUYA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.

TUYA moved above its 50-day moving average on September 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +8.54% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TUYA advanced for three days, in 179 of 232 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.

TUYA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 95 of 128 cases where TUYA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 74%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 2 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.062) is normal, around the industry mean (19.972). P/E Ratio (16.182) is within average values for comparable stocks, (153.820). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (3.697). TUYA's Dividend Yield (0.064) is considerably higher than the industry average of (0.004). P/S Ratio (3.168) is also within normal values, averaging (103.889).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 74 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. TUYA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 80 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TUYA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock worse than average.