TVA in downward trend: price may decline as a result of having broken its higher Bollinger Band on October 20, 2026
TVA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 12 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In 2 of the 12 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at 17%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 20, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TVA as a result. In 4 of 22 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 18%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TVA just turned positive on October 20, 2026. Looking at past instances where TVA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 1 of 9 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 11%.
Following a +0.10% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TVA advanced for three days, in 12 of 46 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 26%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 13 of 55 cases where TVA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 24%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 3 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 54 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TVA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 86 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.419) is normal, around the industry mean (-542.660). P/E Ratio (118.333) is within average values for comparable stocks, (117.432). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (15.932). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.020) among similar stocks. TVA's P/S Ratio (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (3.158).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 88 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TVA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 99, placing this stock worse than average.