Aroon Indicator for TVA shows an upward move is likely
TVA's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on September 29, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 13 of the 40 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 32%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TVA just turned positive on September 17, 2026. Looking at past instances where TVA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 1 of 8 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 12%.
Following a +0.10% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TVA advanced for three days, in 12 of 46 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 26%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for TVA moved out of overbought territory on September 21, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 7 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 1 of the 7 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 14%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 1 of 7 cases where TVA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 14%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TVA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 21%.
TVA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 18, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 5 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 52 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TVA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 88 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 90 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.409) is normal, around the industry mean (130.543). P/E Ratio (117.444) is within average values for comparable stocks, (169.970). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (15.932). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.002) among similar stocks. TVA's P/S Ratio (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (3.158).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TVA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 99, placing this stock worse than average.