UAMY stock forecast, quote, news & analysis
United States Antimony Corp is a fully integrated mining, transportation, milling, smelting, and selling company... Show more
Why United States Antimony (UAMY) Stock Is Down -25.7% in the Last 30 Days
Key Takeaways
- United States Antimony (UAMY) shares fell about 25.7% over the past 30 days, sliding from a closing price of $4.26 on September 28, 2026, to roughly $3.17 in late October.
- The decline extends a broader downtrend, with the stock down approximately 39% over the last quarter.
- Sharply lower antimony prices compressed margins, cutting second-quarter revenue about 25% year over year and producing an operating loss.
- Management lowered full-year 2026 revenue guidance to a range of $60 million to $75 million, down from a prior target of $125 million.
- A late-month rebound followed a new Nolan Creek technical report in Alaska and a Buy rating initiation from Texas Capital.
- Get more details on Price Targets, Earnings, and Forecast for UAMY.
- Explore Trending AI Robots to review AI-driven trading strategies for this and other tickers.
United States Antimony (UAMY) Company Overview and Market Position
United States Antimony Corporation, commonly known as US Antimony, is a producer and processor of antimony, zeolite, and other critical minerals. The company describes itself as the only fully integrated antimony company in the free world outside of China and Russia, operating a smelter at Thompson Falls and a flotation mill at Radersburg in Montana, along with antimony facilities in Mexico and a vertically integrated zeolite plant in Idaho. Antimony is used in ammunition, flame retardants, alloys, and military-grade products, which positions the company at the center of U.S. critical-mineral supply-chain policy. Investors follow the stock closely because of its sole-source Defense Logistics Agency (DLA) contract and its role in domestic onshoring initiatives.
United States Antimony (UAMY) Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter
Over the past 30 days, UAMY shares declined approximately 25.7%, moving from a closing price of $4.26 on September 28, 2026, to about $3.17 in late October. The move was not linear: the stock trended lower through mid-October, touching an intraday low near $2.64 before rebounding sharply on October 27 following the release of the Nolan Creek technical report.
The last-quarter picture is similarly weak. From a closing price of $5.21 on July 28, 2026, shares have fallen roughly 39%, extending a multi-month slide from levels above $7 reached in early July. The persistent decline reflects deteriorating antimony pricing and a reset of growth expectations rather than a single isolated event.
What Drove UAMY Stock Price in the Last 30 Days
The dominant pressure on UAMY shares has been the sharp decline in antimony prices. Average realized selling prices fell about 52% year over year in the second quarter, to $13.70 per pound from $28.32 per pound, as post-2024 price spikes from China's export restrictions unwound and new artisanal supply entered the market. Management has indicated spot antimony prices settled near $8.64 to $9 per pound.
That pricing environment compressed gross margin to roughly 7% in the second quarter, from 27% a year earlier, and contributed to an operating loss of about $7 million. In response, the company cut its full-year 2026 revenue guidance to a range of $60 million to $75 million from $125 million, weighing on sentiment.
Near the end of the period, sentiment improved modestly. On October 7, Texas Capital initiated coverage with a Buy rating and a $9.50 price target, citing the Thompson Falls smelter and critical-mineral onshoring tailwinds. Then, on October 26, the company announced a completed S-K 1300 technical report on its Nolan Creek gold-antimony property in Alaska, valuing measured and indicated resources at more than $314 million in-situ, which helped drive a sharp single-day rebound on October 27.
What Drove UAMY Stock Performance Over the Last Quarter
The quarterly decline reflects a broader repricing of the critical-minerals trade. Antimony prices that surged after China's September 2024 export controls have normalized as alternative supply ramped up, reducing the premium that investors had assigned to domestic producers. At the same time, the company absorbed higher operating expenses tied to its expanded leadership team, infrastructure build-out, and share-based compensation, while revenue recognition on early DLA deliveries was deferred into the third quarter. The combination of lower prices, margin compression, and reduced guidance outweighed positive developments, including rising zeolite volumes and a strengthened balance sheet with about $62 million in cash and U.S. Treasuries.
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UAMY Stock Forecast Drivers: What Investors Should Watch Next
Several factors will shape the outlook for UAMY. Antimony pricing remains the most important variable, since realized prices directly determine revenue and margins. Investors should also monitor progress on the Nolan Creek bulk-sample program, where roughly 1,000 tons of ore are being shipped to the Radersburg mill to test economics and military-specification production, with first sales targeted for late 2026 and a fuller ramp in 2027. Execution against the DLA contract, which had accumulated approximately $57.3 million in orders, and the company's pending federal grant applications for antimony, tungsten, and hydrometallurgical projects are additional catalysts. Broader macroeconomic conditions, Chinese export policy, and critical-mineral demand trends will continue to influence sentiment.
Disclaimer
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UAMY in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on October 12, 2026
UAMY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 32 of 35 cases where UAMY's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where UAMY's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 18 of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for UAMY just turned positive on October 22, 2026. Looking at past instances where UAMY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 45 of 54 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
Following a +6.13% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UAMY advanced for three days, in 206 of 259 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 41 of 47 cases where UAMY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on UAMY as a result. In 79 of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UAMY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
The Aroon Indicator for UAMY entered a downward trend on October 26, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 12 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 89 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. UAMY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 90 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. UAMY’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 98 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.373) is normal, around the industry mean (7.177). P/E Ratio (-22.077) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-0.574). UAMY's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (9.440) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.026). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.015) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (17.241) is also within normal values, averaging (283.864).
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General Information
a producer of antimony products
Industry OtherMetalsMinerals