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UGP
Stock ticker: NYSE
AS OF
Apr 24 closing price
Price
$3.16
Change
+$0.09 (+2.93%)
Capitalization
6.18B

UGP Ultrapar Participacoes SA Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Ultrapar Participacoes SA engages in the investment of its own capital in services, commercial, industrial activities, through the subscription or acquisition of shares of other companies... Show more

UGP
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for UGP with price predictions
Apr 24, 2025

UGP's MACD Histogram just turned positive

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for UGP turned positive on April 23, 2025. Looking at past instances where UGP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 21, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on UGP as a result. In of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

UGP moved above its 50-day moving average on April 17, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for UGP crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on April 23, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UGP advanced for three days, in of 280 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for UGP moved out of overbought territory on March 24, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 26 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 26 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UGP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

UGP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 24, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.259) is normal, around the industry mean (9.385). P/E Ratio (12.679) is within average values for comparable stocks, (25.032). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (0.907). Dividend Yield (0.024) settles around the average of (0.061) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.245) is also within normal values, averaging (0.487).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. UGP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. UGP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock worse than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

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UGP
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
Show more...
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A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

UGP is expected to report earnings to fall 48.32% to 6 cents per share on May 07

Ultrapar Participacoes SA UGP Stock Earnings Reports
Q1'25
Est.
$0.07
Q4'24
Beat
by $0.04
Q3'24
Est.
$0.10
Q2'24
Est.
$0.07
Q1'24
Est.
$0.08
The last earnings report on February 26 showed earnings per share of 13 cents, beating the estimate of 8 cents. With 1.75M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 6.18B.
A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

UGP paid dividends on March 24, 2025

Ultrapar Participacoes SA UGP Stock Dividends
А dividend of $0.08 per share was paid with a record date of March 24, 2025, and an ex-dividend date of March 10, 2025. Read more...
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a holding company, which is involved in the distribution of liquid petroleum gas and in the production of chemicals

Industry OilRefiningMarketing

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Oil Refining Or Marketing
Address
Brigadeiro Luis Antonio Avenue, 1343
Phone
+55 1131773820
Employees
10094
Web
https://www.ultra.com.br
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UGP and Stocks

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, UGP has been closely correlated with CSAN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 73% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if UGP jumps, then CSAN could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To UGP
1D Price
Change %
UGP100%
+2.93%
CSAN - UGP
73%
Closely correlated
+4.95%
DK - UGP
32%
Poorly correlated
-0.84%
CTXAY - UGP
28%
Poorly correlated
-5.09%
VVV - UGP
25%
Poorly correlated
+1.63%
PSX - UGP
24%
Poorly correlated
+1.86%
More

Groups containing UGP

Correlation & Price change

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To UGP
1D Price
Change %
UGP100%
+2.93%
UGP
(2 stocks)
85%
Closely correlated
+3.94%