VALE Vale SA Chart, History Price & Graph

Key Takeaways

• VALE remains in a long-term uptrend, trading above the 200-day moving average near 16.21-16.73, with a 74% gain relative to this level over the longer term.
• Strong price action over the last 30 days, up approximately 20%, pushing toward the 52-week high of 17.94 before a recent pullback to around 17.17.
• Momentum indicators mixed: RSI(14) at 38.7 signals oversold conditions, while MACD(12,26) at -0.11 and Stochastic at 32 indicate fading short-term momentum.
• Key resistance cluster at 17.36 (20-day MA) and 17.54 (50-day MA); support at pivot S1 17.17, 16.80 (20-day MA), and 16.21 (200-day MA).
• Volume below average at 25 million shares versus 34 million, suggesting reduced participation on the pullback.

Trend Analysis

Vale S.A. (VALE) has exhibited a robust uptrend over the past year, recovering sharply from 52-week lows near 8.97. The stock surged approximately 20% in the last 30 days, reflecting bullish price action amid broader materials sector strength. However, recent sessions show consolidation and a mild pullback from the 52-week high of 17.94, with the current price hovering around 17.17. This retreat tests short-term trend integrity, but the overall structure remains bullish as long as key supports hold.

Moving Averages

Shorter-term moving averages present near-term resistance. The 5-day simple MA stands at 17.20, 10-day at 17.20, 20-day at 17.36, and 50-day at 17.54, all signaling sell on a crossover basis. In contrast, longer-term averages support the uptrend: 100-day simple MA at 17.25 and 200-day at 16.21 show buy signals. Exponential counterparts align similarly, with EMA200 at 16.73. Price above the 200-day MA confirms the primary uptrend, though a golden cross earlier in the period (10-day above 50-day) fueled the recent rally.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum has cooled after the sharp advance. RSI(14) reads 38.7, entering oversold territory and hinting at potential mean reversion. MACD(12,26) histogram is negative at -0.11, with the signal line confirming a sell. Stochastic(9,6) at 32.2 and Williams %R at -78.2 also point to sell, while CCI(14) at -88.8 reinforces short-term weakness. STOCHRSI(14) at 66.5 offers a lone buy amid the oscillator summary of 2 buys and 8 sells.

Support and Resistance Levels

Immediate support aligns with classic pivot S1 at 17.17 and S2 at 17.15, followed by the 20-day MA at 16.80. Deeper support rests at the 200-day MA around 16.21. Resistance is tight overhead: pivot R1 at 17.20, R2 at 17.21, then the 20-day and 50-day MAs at 17.36-17.54, with the 52-week high at 17.94 as a major cap. These levels define a narrow trading range amid heightened ADX(14) at 76, indicating strong but directional volatility.

Volume and Market Activity

Trading volume recently dipped to 25 million shares, below the 34 million average, on the pullback. This lower participation suggests limited selling conviction, potentially setting up for stabilization. Earlier rally phases saw elevated volume supporting the uptrend, consistent with the 14.85% gain over the 20-day period.

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Technical Outlook and Key Levels to Watch

Traders eye the cluster of support from 17.17 to 16.80 for signs of stabilization or bounce, particularly with oversold RSI. A hold above 16.21 (200-day MA) preserves the uptrend, while failure could target deeper retracements. Overhead, breaks above 17.36-17.54 MAs would signal resumption toward 17.94. Monitor MACD for divergence, Stochastic for oversold relief, and volume for conviction on any move. Pivot levels around 17.15-17.21 frame near-term range-bound action.

Disclaimer

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