VGZ sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
VGZ saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on August 28, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 33 of the 40 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 82%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for VGZ moved out of overbought territory on August 24, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 30 of the 38 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 79%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 28, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on VGZ as a result. In 60 of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VGZ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 54 of 66 cases where VGZ's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
The 10-day moving average for VGZ crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 12, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
Following a +1.34% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VGZ advanced for three days, in 203 of 248 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
VGZ may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 179 of 219 cases where VGZ Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 82%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 6 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. VGZ’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 51 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 59, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 90 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.238) is normal, around the industry mean (4.109). P/E Ratio (13.250) is within average values for comparable stocks, (54.349). VGZ's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (2.505). VGZ has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.013). VGZ's P/S Ratio (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (7.479).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.