VNCE Stock Vince Holding (VNCE, $5.03) entered Downtrend as Momentum indicator drops below 0 level on Sep 10, 2026
at Tickeron.com
This indicator may be signaling that VNCE's price has further to drop, since it fell below its price logged 14 days ago. Traders may consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options. A.I.dvisor backtested 91 similar cases where VNCE's Momentum Indicator fell below the 0 level, and of them led to a successful outcome. Odds of Success:
VNCE's RSI Oscillator peaks and leaves overbought zone
The 10-day RSI Indicator for VNCE moved out of overbought territory on August 28, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 20 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In 19 of the 20 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 10, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on VNCE as a result. In 82 of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for VNCE turned negative on September 03, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 34 of the 40 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 85%.
VNCE moved below its 50-day moving average on September 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for VNCE crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 11, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VNCE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +3.66% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VNCE advanced for three days, in 195 of 245 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
VNCE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 90 of 123 cases where VNCE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 73%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 15 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. VNCE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 49 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.154) is normal, around the industry mean (6.178). P/E Ratio (9.034) is within average values for comparable stocks, (29.618). VNCE's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (0.809). VNCE has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.026). P/S Ratio (0.219) is also within normal values, averaging (0.834).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. VNCE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.