XLY The Consumer Discret Sel SectSPDR® ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

XLY sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

XLY saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on November 06, 2025. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 42 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 06, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on XLY as a result. In of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

XLY moved below its 50-day moving average on November 13, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for XLY crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 14, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XLY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where XLY's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 32 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLY advanced for three days, in of 362 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

XLY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 330 cases where XLY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .