XRT SPDR® S&P Retail ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

XRT in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on October 07, 2025

XRT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 36 cases where XRT's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XRT advanced for three days, in of 301 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 294 cases where XRT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 29, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on XRT as a result. In of 93 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for XRT turned negative on September 19, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 56 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 56 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

XRT moved below its 50-day moving average on October 07, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XRT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .