XRT SPDR® S&P Retail ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Momentum Indicator for XRT turns positive, indicating new upward trend

XRT saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on August 12, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 93 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 93 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XRT just turned positive on August 12, 2025. Looking at past instances where XRT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 55 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

XRT moved above its 50-day moving average on August 04, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XRT advanced for three days, in of 298 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 280 cases where XRT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for XRT moved out of overbought territory on August 14, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 35 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 35 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 67 cases where XRT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XRT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

XRT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 13, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.