RSPD
Price
$57.32
Change
-$0.50 (-0.86%)
Updated
Nov 6 closing price
Net Assets
295.7M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
XRT
Price
$89.50
Change
-$1.57 (-1.72%)
Updated
Nov 6 closing price
Net Assets
660.39M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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RSPD vs XRT

RSPD vs XRT Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Nov 04, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary ETF (RSPD) vs. SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT)

Key Takeaways

  • RSPD tracks an equal-weighted index of roughly 48 large-cap U.S. consumer discretionary companies, spanning travel, leisure, autos, luxury, and retail, while XRT holds about 75 equal-weighted names focused narrowly on the retail sub-industry.
  • Both funds are passive and equal-weighted, but they differ sharply in breadth: RSPD covers the entire consumer discretionary sector, whereas XRT concentrates on store-based and e-commerce retailers, including many small- and mid-cap names.
  • Cost is comparable but not identical — XRT charges 0.35% versus RSPD's 0.40% expense ratio, a modest edge that favors XRT on fees alone.
  • XRT carries a higher-volatility profile, with meaningful exposure to small-cap and occasionally heavily shorted retail stocks, while RSPD's large-cap tilt offers a more balanced risk distribution.
  • Tickeron AI Verdict: RSPD — its broader diversification, larger-cap quality, and lower idiosyncratic risk make it the structurally favored choice in most market regimes.

Introduction

Investors evaluating consumer-facing equity exposure often encounter two funds that sound similar but are built very differently: RSPD and XRT. Both are equal-weighted, passively managed ETFs tied to American consumers, yet they do not compete directly. RSPD spans the entire consumer discretionary sector — including hotels, cruise lines, restaurants, and automakers — while XRT isolates the retail trade, from big-box and specialty stores to e-commerce platforms. Understanding this structural distinction is essential for any ETF comparison, because the two funds can diverge meaningfully depending on which slice of consumer spending is in favor.

Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary ETF (RSPD) Overview

RSPD tracks the S&P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary Index. Rather than weighting by market capitalization, it assigns each constituent an equal weight, reducing the dominance of mega-cap names that typically crowd cap-weighted sector funds. The fund holds approximately 48 to 50 large-cap stocks, with the top 10 positions representing only about a quarter of assets.

Top holdings have recently included cruise and travel operators such as Carnival and Royal Caribbean, hoteliers Marriott and Hilton, and consumer names like TJX Companies, Ralph Lauren, Tapestry, Garmin, eBay, and Williams-Sonoma. Sector exposure is essentially 100% consumer discretionary. The expense ratio is 0.40%, and the fund rebalances quarterly to restore equal weights — a mechanism that systematically trims winners and adds to laggards. This large-cap, diversified design gives RSPD a relatively moderate volatility profile within a cyclical sector.

SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) Overview

XRT seeks to track the S&P Retail Select Industry Index, a modified equal-weighted index drawn from the retail segment of the S&P Total Market Index. It holds roughly 75 stocks, with top-10 concentration of only about 16% to 18%. The fund uses a sampling strategy, investing at least 80% of assets in index securities.

Recent top holdings include Abercrombie & Fitch, MarineMax, CarMax, Five Below, Sally Beauty, Target, Grocery Outlet, Penske Automotive, Best Buy, and Lithia Motors. Because the index spans the broader U.S. total market, XRT reaches well into small- and mid-cap territory, with notable allocations to specialty, broadline, and grocery retail. Its expense ratio is 0.35%. XRT is among the most heavily traded retail ETFs, with far higher daily volume than RSPD, and it has historically attracted elevated short interest given its mix of turnaround and meme-adjacent retail names.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both funds are tethered to U.S. consumer spending, but they respond to different catalysts. RSPD is levered to the broad discretionary cycle — travel demand, lodging pricing, cruise occupancy, and high-end goods — meaning it benefits when households spend on experiences and big-ticket items. XRT is more directly exposed to same-store sales, e-commerce competition, promotional intensity, and holiday shopping patterns.

Macro forces shaping sector exposure for both funds include the path of interest rates, wage growth, consumer confidence, and credit conditions. Persistent inflation in essentials can pressure discretionary budgets, while a resilient labor market supports spending. Retail-specific risks — inventory management, tariff exposure on imported goods, and the structural shift toward e-commerce — weigh more heavily on XRT. In contrast, RSPD's travel and leisure names are more sensitive to fuel costs, airfare, and geopolitical disruptions.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

Over recent market cycles, relative positioning between the two funds has been driven by breadth and stock quality. RSPD's large-cap, multi-industry construction has tended to produce steadier fund performance, benefiting from diversified earnings streams across travel, leisure, autos, and retail. XRT, with its heavier small-cap weighting and concentration in turnaround retail stories, has historically displayed higher volatility and sharper drawdowns during risk-off periods, while also offering greater upside when sentiment toward retail improves.

Interest-rate expectations matter to both, but differently. RSPD's travel and big-ticket exposure is closely tied to financing conditions and high-income consumer trends, whereas XRT is more sensitive to lower- and middle-income spending, promotional calendars, and earnings revisions among its retailer constituents. Investors seeking broad cyclical exposure with lower single-stock risk tend to gravitate toward RSPD, while those making a targeted bet on a retail recovery often choose XRT for its purity of exposure and liquidity.

AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter thousands of stocks and ETFs using technical patterns, fundamentals, trend indicators, volatility metrics, and AI-driven signals. Users can customize searches by industry, market capitalization, price patterns, and performance to surface breakout candidates, trending names, and actionable trade ideas far more efficiently than manual screening. For investors comparing funds like RSPD and XRT, the screener offers a structured way to evaluate momentum, risk, and trend consistency across the consumer space. Explore the AI Screener to refine your own sector analysis.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron's AI would likely favor RSPD over XRT in the current environment. RSPD's broader diversification across travel, leisure, autos, and retail reduces dependence on any single sub-industry, while its large-cap composition generally carries lower idiosyncratic and balance-sheet risk. Although XRT offers a slightly lower expense ratio and superior liquidity, its concentration in small- and mid-cap retailers and its historical tendency toward elevated volatility introduce additional drawdown risk. Absent a clear retail-specific catalyst, the AI framework leans toward RSPD for its more balanced risk profile, trend consistency, and diversified consumer discretionary exposure.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
RSPD vs. XRT commentary
Nov 09, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is RSPD is a Hold and XRT is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for RSPD with price predictions
Nov 06, 2026

RSPD's RSI Indicator peaks and leaves overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Indicator for RSPD moved out of overbought territory on November 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In 33 of the 38 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at 87%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 6 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RSPD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.

RSPD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on RSPD as a result. In 76 of 92 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for RSPD just turned positive on October 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where RSPD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.

RSPD moved above its 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for RSPD crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 27, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 13 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Following a +0.51% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RSPD advanced for three days, in 250 of 308 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 216 of 268 cases where RSPD Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 81%.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for XRT with price predictions
Nov 06, 2026

XRT's RSI Oscillator recovers from overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Indicator for XRT moved out of overbought territory on November 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In 29 of the 32 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 53 of 63 cases where XRT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XRT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.

XRT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 07, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on XRT as a result. In 74 of 88 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.

XRT moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for XRT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.

The 50-day moving average for XRT moved above the 200-day moving average on November 05, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a +4.14% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XRT advanced for three days, in 237 of 279 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 226 of 262 cases where XRT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 86%.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
RSPDXRT
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
87%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
79%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
84%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
83%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
84%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 6 days ago
78%
N/A
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
82%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
86%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
83%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
87%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 13 days ago
81%
Bullish Trend 25 days ago
85%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
83%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
86%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
85%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
85%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
81%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
86%
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RSPD and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RSPD has been closely correlated with HD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if RSPD jumps, then HD could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To RSPD
1D Price
Change %
RSPD100%
-0.86%
HD - RSPD
79%
Closely correlated
-1.85%
PHM - RSPD
77%
Closely correlated
-1.97%
LOW - RSPD
76%
Closely correlated
-1.18%
WSM - RSPD
74%
Closely correlated
-1.76%
CCL - RSPD
72%
Closely correlated
+0.48%
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