XRT SPDR® S&P Retail ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

XRT's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XRT turned positive on July 02, 2025. Looking at past instances where XRT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 53 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 27, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on XRT as a result. In of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XRT advanced for three days, in of 295 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 280 cases where XRT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XRT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

XRT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 01, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.