York Space Systems Inc is a U... Show more
York Space Systems, Inc. is a U.S.-based space and defense prime headquartered in Greenwood Village, Colorado. The company designs, manufactures, integrates, and operates spacecraft, offering turnkey solutions across the full mission lifecycle for national security, government, and commercial customers. Its portfolio includes S-CLASS, LX-CLASS, and M-CLASS satellite platforms, supported by proprietary hardware and software capabilities.
Formerly known as Yellowstone Midco Holdings II, LLC, the company adopted the York Space Systems name in January 2026, when its shares began trading publicly. York is one of a relatively small number of space and defense primes with vertically integrated hardware and software capabilities, a positioning that has attracted investor attention amid rising demand for resilient national-security space infrastructure. Investors follow the stock for its rapid revenue growth, expanding satellite fleet, and a backlog reported near $500 million, balanced against ongoing net losses and high post-IPO volatility.
Over the trailing 30 days, YSS shares declined about 19%, moving from a closing price of approximately $8.65 at the end of September to roughly $6.99 by late October. The move was not linear: shares slid to a 30-day low near $5.52 in mid-October before staging a partial recovery into the upper $6 range.
The 30-day decline is part of a steeper quarterly trend. Three months earlier, near the end of July, the stock traded around $15, meaning it has lost roughly 54% over the last quarter. This sustained downtrend reflects a broader de-rating from the company's January 2026 debut near $34, with shares well below their 52-week high of roughly $44.54 and nearer their 52-week low of about $5.52.
The recent weakness has coincided with several overlapping factors. A securities class action filed on behalf of shareholders who purchased YSS securities between late January and mid-May 2026 remained active, with a lead plaintiff deadline in late October 2026. Legal overhangs of this kind can weigh on sentiment, particularly for a newly public company already trading far below its offering price.
Broader post-IPO dynamics also continued to influence trading. Shares that priced at $34 in January 2026 have experienced sustained selling pressure, and the last 30 days extended that pattern as investors reassessed near-term profitability and cash flow. Heightened volatility ahead of the company's third-quarter earnings release, scheduled for November 12, 2026, likely contributed to choppy price action as traders positioned around the report.
The quarterly decline of roughly 54% reflects a larger narrative rather than a single event. After peaking earlier in 2026, the stock entered a prolonged downtrend through August and September as enthusiasm from the January debut faded and investors focused on execution, profitability, and litigation risk. August was particularly weak, with shares falling from the mid-teens into the single digits.
Despite the share-price weakness, the company's underlying growth profile remains a central theme. York reported revenue growth of roughly 52% in 2025, maintained a backlog near $500 million, and expanded its in-orbit satellite count with plans to grow the fleet toward 140 satellites by 2027. The divergence between strong operational momentum and a falling share price highlights the sentiment-driven nature of the recent quarter.
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Several factors are likely to shape YSS shares in the near term. The third-quarter earnings release on November 12, 2026, and accompanying guidance will be closely watched, particularly for updates on revenue growth, adjusted EBITDA trajectory, backlog, and satellite deployment milestones. Progress toward profitability remains a key investor concern given the company's reported net losses.
Beyond earnings, investors will monitor developments in the securities litigation, any changes in analyst ratings or price targets, and the broader environment for defense and space spending. Macroeconomic conditions, government procurement cycles, and competitive dynamics within the space sector could also influence sentiment. As with any high-volatility, early-stage public company, execution against stated growth targets will likely remain the dominant driver of the stock's direction.
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The RSI Indicator for YSS moved out of oversold territory on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 11 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 10 of the 11 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 28, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on YSS as a result. In 7 of 10 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for YSS just turned positive on October 23, 2026. Looking at past instances where YSS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 4 of 6 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
Following a +7.70% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where YSS advanced for three days, in 20 of 28 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
YSS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 5 of 5 cases where YSS's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where YSS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
The Aroon Indicator for YSS entered a downward trend on October 29, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 8 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 21 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.386) is normal, around the industry mean (5.157). P/E Ratio (-2.981) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.245). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (3.110). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.058) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.627) is also within normal values, averaging (18.367).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 90 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. YSS’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. YSS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Industry AerospaceDefense