York Space Systems Inc is a U... Show more
York Space Systems, Inc. (YSS), a key player in the space and defense sector, is positioned at the forefront of growing demand for satellite platforms and mission services. As the company scales its operations post-IPO, several forward-looking factors could shape its trajectory amid a rapidly evolving space industry.
York Space Systems operates in the Industrials sector's Aerospace & Defense industry, specializing in spacecraft design, production, integration, and operation. Its proprietary S-CLASS, LX-CLASS, and M-CLASS satellite platforms offer scalable solutions across small to medium payloads, emphasizing rapid deployment and cost efficiency compared to traditional primes. The recent acquisition of Orbion Space Technology enhances in-house electric propulsion capabilities, bolstering supply chain resilience and supporting constellation management services.
With a focus on national security missions, York has secured positions in the Space Development Agency's (SDA) Proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture (PWSA) across multiple tranches. Commercial traction is building, as evidenced by the $187 million M-CLASS constellation contract, positioning the company to capture share in the expanding PLEO market while mitigating reliance on government funding.
York's Q1 2026 earnings, expected in late May, will provide visibility into contract execution and revenue ramp from recent wins, with consensus revenue at $110 million and EPS at -$0.11. Progress on the $187 million commercial contract and PWSA deliveries could drive positive surprises.
The NASA-backed interoperability demo extension through 2027 offers sustained validation and potential follow-on funding. Analyst updates post-earnings may refine price targets, where recent initiations include Wells Fargo's strong buy at $35, while Truist trimmed its target to $26. Consensus remains optimistic, with upward EPS revisions for near-term quarters signaling improving sentiment.
The space sector is poised for expansion driven by PLEO constellations for communications, Earth observation, and defense. U.S. defense spending is projected to rise amid geopolitical tensions, benefiting York's government-focused backlog. Interest rate trends could influence capital allocation for commercial partners, while supply chain inflation poses margin risks. Regulatory support for national security space initiatives, including SDA programs, aligns with York's strengths in rapid satellite production.
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In 2026, York anticipates revenue growth to $568 million, supported by defense contracts and commercial expansion, though profitability remains elusive with projected EPS of -$0.08. Key themes include scaling M-CLASS production for PLEO demand, cost efficiencies from vertical integration, and margin expansion toward 2027 breakeven. Long-term drivers encompass U.S. government PLEO initiatives, commercial constellation opportunities, and propulsion technology advancements. Competitive threats from established players and execution on backlog will be critical, with analysts forecasting 53% revenue growth into 2027. Consensus expectations highlight sustained upside from mission services evolution.
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YSS saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on June 22, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 5 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 5 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for YSS turned negative on June 23, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 1 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 1 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
YSS moved below its 50-day moving average on June 17, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where YSS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for YSS entered a downward trend on July 02, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
YSS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.181) is normal, around the industry mean (10.983). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (94.507). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (4.106). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.019) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (9.328) is also within normal values, averaging (37.421).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. YSS’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. YSS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 72, placing this stock worse than average.