ZTO ZTO Express (Cayman) Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

ZTO in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on September 21, 2026

ZTO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 30 of 39 cases where ZTO's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ZTO's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 25 of 33 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a +3.71% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ZTO advanced for three days, in 183 of 284 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 21, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ZTO as a result. In 65 of 95 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ZTO turned negative on September 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 30 of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 67%.

The 50-day moving average for ZTO moved below the 200-day moving average on September 10, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ZTO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

The Aroon Indicator for ZTO entered a downward trend on September 25, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 17 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.544) is normal, around the industry mean (3.717). P/E Ratio (10.204) is within average values for comparable stocks, (222.877). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.992) is also within normal values, averaging (5.107). ZTO has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.035) as compared to the industry average of (0.013). P/S Ratio (2.023) is also within normal values, averaging (2.034).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 53 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ZTO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 66 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ZTO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.