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ZTO
Stock ticker: NYSE
AS OF
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Price
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Capitalization
17.87B

ZTO ZTO Express (Cayman) Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

a delivery & freight company

Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for ZTO with price predictions
07:00 PM EST Dec 03, 2023

Momentum Indicator for ZTO turns negative, indicating new downward trend

ZTO saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on November 17, 2023. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 96 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 96 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ZTO turned negative on November 17, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

ZTO moved below its 50-day moving average on November 16, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for ZTO crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 17, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 21 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ZTO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for ZTO's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 56 cases where ZTO's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ZTO advanced for three days, in of 315 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

ZTO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ZTO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. ZTO’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.243) is normal, around the industry mean (17.349). P/E Ratio (15.106) is within average values for comparable stocks, (22.905). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.596) is also within normal values, averaging (11.069). ZTO has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.043). ZTO's P/S Ratio (3.557) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.200).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS), FedEx Corp (NYSE:FDX), C.H. Robinson Worldwide (NASDAQ:CHRW).

Industry description

The Air Freight/Couriers industry operates air transportation and recurring delivery services. This includes companies offering same-day deliveries, scheduled delivery and logistical services. The proliferation of e-commerce/online retail with a growing emphasis on faster delivery has expanded opportunities for this industry, and induced more competition. United Parcel Service, Inc., FedEx Corporation and Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. are some of the major companies in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Air Freight/Couriers Industry is 10.89B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 2.6M to 127.44B. UPS holds the highest valuation in this group at 127.44B. The lowest valued company is PTNYF at 2.6M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Air Freight/Couriers Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 4%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4%. JYD experienced the highest price growth at 27%, while GVH experienced the biggest fall at -9%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Air Freight/Couriers Industry was 5%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -11% and the average quarterly volume growth was 4%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 52
Price Growth Rating: 50
SMR Rating: 62
Profit Risk Rating: 77
Seasonality Score: 7 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

ZTO is expected to report earnings to rise 671.79% to $3.01 per share on March 13

ZTO Express (Cayman) ZTO Stock Earnings Reports
Q4'23
Est.
$3.01
Q3'23
Missed
by $2.36
Q2'23
Beat
by $0.27
Q1'23
Beat
by $0.56
Q4'22
Beat
by $0.02
The last earnings report on November 16 showed earnings per share of 38 cents, missing the estimate of $2.75. With 2.98M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 17.87B.
A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

ZTO paid dividends on April 28, 2023

ZTO Express (Cayman) ZTO Stock Dividends
А quarterly dividend of $0.37 per share was paid with a record date of April 28, 2023, and an ex-dividend date of April 05, 2023. Read more...
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a delivery & freight company

Industry AirFreightCouriers

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Air Freight Or Couriers
Address
No. 1685 Huazhi Road
Phone
+86 2159804508
Employees
24888
Web
http://ir.zto.com
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ZTO and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor tells us that ZTO and XPO have been poorly correlated (+33% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that ZTO and XPO's prices will move in lockstep.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To ZTO
1D Price
Change %
ZTO100%
-1.53%
XPO - ZTO
33%
Poorly correlated
-1.69%
GXO - ZTO
30%
Poorly correlated
+1.27%
UPS - ZTO
28%
Poorly correlated
+0.65%
FDX - ZTO
27%
Poorly correlated
+0.45%
LSTR - ZTO
26%
Poorly correlated
+2.29%
More

Groups containing ZTO

Correlation & Price change

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To ZTO
1D Price
Change %
ZTO100%
-1.53%
asia
(undefined stocks)
58%
Loosely correlated
-0.07%
china
(undefined stocks)
58%
Loosely correlated
+0.23%
freight
(undefined stocks)
32%
Poorly correlated
+1.27%
transportation
(undefined stocks)
32%
Poorly correlated
+2.49%
Air Freight/Couriers
(undefined stocks)
32%
Poorly correlated
+1.19%
More