Congress and the White House reached a historic, $2 trillion stimulus bill aimed to revive the US economy from the impact of the coronavirus pandemic.
The economic relief package, will include $250 billion for direct payments to individuals and families, $350 billion in small business loans, $250 billion in unemployment insurance benefits and $500 billion in loans for distressed companies.
The package has set aside $50 billion of loans to U.S. airlines, and $150 billion for hospitals.
The U.S. economy is set to contract by a worrisome -24% in the second quarter, according to Goldman Sachs economists.
With the Covid-19 outbreak, Goldman Sachs’ analysis is probably one of the most grimmest outlooks.The outlook represents the sharpest single-quarter decline in gross domestic product since the U.S. began reported GDP in its current form.
Goldman Sachs economists expect US unemployment to surge to 9% rate in the next couple of quarters, citing an apparent rise in job losses happening very quickly.
On Wednesday, the U.S. Senate voted to approve an emergency aid package meant to cushion some of the economic damage from coronavirus crisis.
The Senate voted 90-8 to pass legislation on providing more than $100 billion in aid, including financing free testing for the virus, expanded paid sick leave, additional food aid and other urgent steps.
Details of the plan were worked out last week between House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Treasury Secretary Stephen Mnuchin.
The bill will now go to President Donald Trump for signing into law.Congress and the White House are now discussing additional economic stimulus legislation.
The Federal Reserve announced that it will set up a Commercial Paper Funding Facility to bolster liquidity in commercial paper market.
The central bank said it will create a special purpose vehicle, under the direction of the Treasury, to purchase short-term, high-quality unsecured debts issued by companies.
Commercial paper markets directly finance a wide range of economic activity, supplying credit and funding for auto loans and mortgages as well as liquidity to meet the operational needs of a range of companies, as mentioned by the Fed.
The Fed hopes to boost liquidity in the commercial paper market which is facing risks from the Coronavirus crisis.
The Federal Reserve on Sunday slashed the Fed’s funds rate by an additional -100 bps to combat economic risks from Coronavirus crisis.
On Sunday, the Fed lowered its policy rate by 100 bps on Sunday to a range of 0% to 0.25%, which is the record low last seen during the global financial crisis in 2008.stocks plunged after being halted from trading soon after markets opened.
Economists polled by Reuters had predicted a deficit of $46.1 billion for January.
The coronavirus crisis has disrupted production and supply chains related to and in China, and is a potential factor behind the lower imports in the US.US goods exported to and imported from China both were lower in January, compared to December.
US overall goods imports fell -2.0% from prior month to $203.4 billion.
While sell-offs was the narrative in equity markets on Friday, plummeting bond yields reflected investors’ massive rush to safety.
On Friday, the S&P 500 lost -1.7%.Each is down more than -10% from their most recent 52-week high.
On Thursday, the Federal Reserve announced a policy rate cut of 0.5 percentage points.
In a major surprise move, the Federal Reserve cut its policy rate by 50 basis points Tuesday, to combat risks from the coronavirus crisis.
Following a meeting of G-7 finance ministers and central bankers where they expressed resolve to combat risks from Coronavirus, the Fed announced its decision to lower the federal fund rate to 1-1.25%.It's the biggest rate cut since the fall of 2008 .
The Fed cited “evolving risks” to the economy due to Coronavirus crisis.
The S&P 500 spiked 37 points higher following the announcemnt, but slipped soon after. 10-year Treasury bond yields climbed to 1.103% while 2-year note yields traded at 0.78%
IHS Markit Ltd. reported its fiscal fourth-quarter 2019 earnings and revenues – both of which surpassed Zacks Consensus Estimate.
The information provider company’s adjusted earnings for the quarter came in at 65 cents per share, beating the consensus estimate by 6.6%.Revenues increased + 5% year-over-year for the quarter.
Revenues at the company’s Resources segment rose +75 year-over-year to $237.6 million; recurring revenues of this segment grew +5% organically.
The Transportation segment’s revenue increased +9% year-over-year to $324.5 million.
While that might have assuaged trade war fears, certain elements of the apparent truce still remain unclear for now.
Thanks to the phase one agreement, China held off tariffs that were scheduled for Sunday on US goods.The US also withdrew from its prior plan of slapping 15% tariffs on $160 billion worth of Chinese imports by Sunday.
Reuters reported that U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer told reporters that China would buy at least $16 billion more agricultural goods in each of the next two years, adding to the 2017 baseline of $24 billion.
The year-over-year wage growth rate came in at + 3.1%, above analysts’ forecasts of +3%.
The latest jobs reports potentially spells hope amid uncertainties related to US-China trade relations, slowing business fixed investment and weakening manufacturing output of recent times.
Manufacturing sector added 54,000 positions in November, out of which 41,000 were in auto manufacturing.General Motors workers, who came back from their October strike, helped in boosting job gains.
U.S.
Just a day after reports surfaced of U.S. administrators considering delisting some Chinese firms from U.S. stock exchanges, a U.S. Treasury official said that there are no such plans currently.
Citing people familiar with and the matter, a Bloomberg report indicated on Friday that U.S. President Donald Trump’s administration is pondering ways to limit U.S. investors’ portfolio flows to China, including delisting of Chinese companies from U.S. stock exchanges, putting a lid on Americans’ government pension funds exposure to China, and capping the Chinese companies included in stock indexes managed by U.S. firms.
Responding to the same, Treasury spokeswoman Monica Crowley said that the administration is not planning on blocking Chinese companies from listing shares on U.S. stock exchanges at this time.
According to Bloomberg’s Friday report (citing people familiar with the matter), administration officials for weeks have been considering their options, and Treasury has be
On Sunday, the U.S. kicked off its latest round of tariff on China goods.
The U.S.is imposing 15% tariff rate on a range of imports from China, including footwear, smart watches and flat-panel televisions - which are largely consumer goods.As part of this fresh round of levies, tariffs on $112 billion worth of Chinese goods have already been slapped on Sunday, with plans to impose duties on another $160 billion in mid-December.
The tariffs prior to Sunday’s announcement were more focused on intermediate inputs like industrial components.
According to the American Apparel and Footwear Association, 91.6% of Chinese apparel imports will be affected by the new round of tariffs, while 68.4% of home textiles and 52.5% of footwear would be hit as well.
The remainder of the tariffs on China, planned for December, are expected to include cell phones and laptops as well.
However, U.S. President Donald Trump has indicated that U.S. negotiations/talks with China are still und
President Donald Trump had threatened earlier this month that a new round of 10% tariffs could be slapped on an additional $300 billion worth of Chinese imports.But Tuesday’s announcement could potentially assuage concerns on trade war intensity, atleast as of now.
Trump said Tuesday that his decision to delay tariffs was to mitigate an impact on holiday shopping.
A spokesperson for the Chinese Ministry of Commerce said that Chinese companies have stopped purchasing U.S. agricultural products in response to U.S. President Trump’s latest 10% tariffs on additional $300 billion of Chinese goods.
The department also indicated it would “not rule out” tariffs on newly bought agricultural goods after August 3.
Previously, Trump had said that he had secured a large amount of agricultural purchases after meeting with China President Xi Jinping at the G-20 summit in June.But later, Trump alleged that China is not staying true to the agreement, and then he announced on Thursday the 10% tariffs on the remaining $300 billion in Chinese imports.
China accounted for $5.6 billion in U.S. farm product exports in 2018, according to the U.S. Census.
The IMF further said, "Risks to the forecast are mainly to the downside".
The organization cut its forecast of China’s economic growth to 6.2%, which is -0.1 a percentage point lower than the April forecast.
However, the IMF increased its projection for U.S. growth by 0.3 a percentage point to 2.6% - the fastest among large advanced economies.IMF’s latest forecasts come amidst expectations of a U.S. policy interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
excluding food and energy, rose 0.3% in June - the largest increase since January 2018.On a year-over-year basis, the core index rose 2.1%.
Stocks jumped to record highs Wednesday, after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s comments seemed to strengthen expectations for monetary policy easing.
The latest minutes released from Federal Open Market Committee indicate their perception of trade uncertainty posing risks to their economic growth and inflation projections.Powell's comments indicate that trade tensions and concerns about the global economy have challenged the policymakers' outlook on the U.S. economy.
US job gains bounced back in June, with employers adding 224,000 jobs, according to Labor Department data released Friday.
The job additions surpassed economists' forecasts of a gain of about 160,000.This is a clear improvement from last month's report, which showed job gains of 75,000 in May, well below expectations of 165,000.
Professional services sector led the way with 51,000 job additions in June, while health-care providers added 35,000 jobs and transportation and warehouse companies added 24,000.
Construction companies hired 21,000 workers and manufacturers added 17,000 jobs.
Retail sector, however, shed another 6,000 jobs.
The U.S. unemployment rate for June, however, increased slightly to 3.7% from 3.6%.
jobs growth improved in June, albeit at a slower pace than economists had expected, based on a report from payroll firm Automatic Data Processing (ADP).
Private employers added 102,000 jobs in June, according to ADP.The figure is lower than the 140,000 job gains expected by economists polled by FactSet.
Nevertheless, June job additions still are a significantly better than May’s 41,000 job gains.
Service industries contributed most of the the job growth in June, adding 117,000 positions.