IMF cuts global economic growth forecast to 3.2%, while raising U.S. growth to 2.6%
The International Monetary Fund cut forecast on worldwide economic growth, while boosting outlook on the U.S. economy.
On Tuesday, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) lowered its forecast for global growth this year to 3.2%, from an April projection of 3.3%.
The organization attributed higher U.S. tariffs on imports from China and the potential effects on global technology supply chains from U.S.-imposed sanctions as factors behind its downward revision. The IMF further said, "Risks to the forecast are mainly to the downside".
The organization cut its forecast of China’s economic growth to 6.2%, which is -0.1 a percentage point lower than the April forecast.
However, the IMF increased its projection for U.S. growth by 0.3 a percentage point to 2.6% - the fastest among large advanced economies. IMF’s latest forecasts come amidst expectations of a U.S. policy interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
SPY in +0.95% Uptrend, growing for three consecutive days on July 17, 2025
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where SPY advanced for three days, in of 365 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 429 cases where SPY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SPY turned negative on July 15, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 53 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
SPY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 26, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
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