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Sep 16, 2022
Adobe (ADBE, $309.13) beats fiscal Q3 earnings expectations

Adobe (ADBE, $309.13) beats fiscal Q3 earnings expectations

Adobe Inc. posted its third-quarter fiscal 2022 non-GAAP earnings came in at $3.40 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.1%. The figure improved 9.3% from the year-ago quarter.

Revenues grew +13% from the year-ago quarter to $4.433 billion, which topped the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.430 billion.

Subscription revenues increased +12.9% o year-over-year to $4.13 billion (~ 93% of the total revenues)

Product revenues rose   +5.9% year over year to $126 million (3% of the total revenues), while Services & support revenues climbed +12.6% from the prior-year quarter to $179 million (4% of the total revenues).

For fourth-quarter fiscal 2022, Adobe projects  revenues of $4.52 billion, compared to The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues at $4.53 billion.

Adobe expects year-over-year revenue growth of 10% from Digital Media.

Related Ticker: ADBE

Momentum Indicator for ADBE turns positive, indicating new upward trend

ADBE saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on July 24, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 82 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 82 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

ADBE moved above its 50-day moving average on July 27, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for ADBE crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on July 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ADBE advanced for three days, in of 308 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 196 cases where ADBE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for ADBE moved out of overbought territory on August 11, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 40 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 10 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ADBE declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

ADBE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 28, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ADBE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.929) is normal, around the industry mean (28.479). P/E Ratio (14.803) is within average values for comparable stocks, (81.364). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.629) is also within normal values, averaging (1.725). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.048) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.252) is also within normal values, averaging (69.517).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ADBE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 95, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Shopify Inc (NASDAQ:SHOP), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), ServiceNow Inc. (NYSE:NOW), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Datadog (NASDAQ:DDOG), Autodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK), Workday (NASDAQ:WDAY), Atlassian Corp (NASDAQ:TEAM).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 10.31B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 240.81B. SAP holds the highest valuation in this group at 240.81B. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 8%. NIQ experienced the highest price growth at 44%, while NXTT experienced the biggest fall at -99%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -22%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 4% and the average quarterly volume growth was -61%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 77
Price Growth Rating: 56
SMR Rating: 78
Profit Risk Rating: 94
Seasonality Score: -2 (-100 ... +100)
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