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Sep 16, 2022

Adobe (ADBE, $309.13) beats fiscal Q3 earnings expectations

Adobe Inc. posted its third-quarter fiscal 2022 non-GAAP earnings came in at $3.40 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.1%. The figure improved 9.3% from the year-ago quarter.

Revenues grew +13% from the year-ago quarter to $4.433 billion, which topped the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.430 billion.

Subscription revenues increased +12.9% o year-over-year to $4.13 billion (~ 93% of the total revenues)

Product revenues rose   +5.9% year over year to $126 million (3% of the total revenues), while Services & support revenues climbed +12.6% from the prior-year quarter to $179 million (4% of the total revenues).

For fourth-quarter fiscal 2022, Adobe projects  revenues of $4.52 billion, compared to The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues at $4.53 billion.

Adobe expects year-over-year revenue growth of 10% from Digital Media.

Related Ticker: ADBE

ADBE in +1.03% Uptrend, rising for three consecutive days on May 07, 2025

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where ADBE advanced for three days, in of 333 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ADBE's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 24 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 25, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ADBE as a result. In of 78 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ADBE just turned positive on April 17, 2025. Looking at past instances where ADBE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 40 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ADBE declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

ADBE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 25, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for ADBE entered a downward trend on April 16, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. ADBE’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (14.556) is normal, around the industry mean (30.917). P/E Ratio (47.957) is within average values for comparable stocks, (160.020). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.863) is also within normal values, averaging (2.714). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.029) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (11.534) is also within normal values, averaging (59.831).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ADBE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Shopify Inc (NASDAQ:SHOP), Palo Alto Networks Inc (NASDAQ:PANW), CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:CRWD).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 12.33B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 3.15T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.15T. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 15%, and the average quarterly price growth was 23%. MRIN experienced the highest price growth at 125%, while HSTA experienced the biggest fall at -59%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -14%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -25% and the average quarterly volume growth was -1%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 69
Price Growth Rating: 56
SMR Rating: 76
Profit Risk Rating: 87
Seasonality Score: 18 (-100 ... +100)
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a developer of software solutions for web and print publishing

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Packaged Software
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