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published in Blogs
Aug 02, 2024

Apple Stock First To Close Above $3.5 Trillion Market Cap

In July, consumer electronics giant Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) became the first company to close regular-session trading with a market capitalization greater than $3.5 trillion. Apple stock ended the day at $3.507 trillion.

Apple Reclaims Title of World's Most Valuable Company
In July, Apple stock reclaimed the title of the world's most valuable company when it surpassed Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) in market value. Microsoft finished regular trading Tuesday with a market cap of $3.415 trillion. Microsoft's highest closing market cap was $3.475 trillion on July 5.

Intraday Performance and Analyst Warnings
Earlier in the session in July, Apple stock fell as much as 0.6% after an analyst said cautious consumer spending could hurt iPhone 16 sales this fall. In intraday trading on the stock market, Apple notched an all-time high of $229.40. It ended the day up 0.4% to $228.68.A History of Milestones
Apple Stock Has Had String Of Firsts:

  1. In August 2018, Apple became the first company to hit a market cap of $1 trillion.
  2. In August 2020, it was the first to reach a market cap of $2 trillion.
  3. In June 2023, Apple stock was the first to hit a valuation of $3 trillion.

Technical Analysis of Apple Stock
The provided stock chart illustrates Apple's performance over the past several months, showcasing significant upward momentum.

Moving Averages
The chart indicates the 200-day moving average, a common technical indicator used by investors to gauge the overall trend of a stock. The 200-day moving average is depicted in red, and Apple has consistently traded above this line, signifying a bullish trend.

Volume Analysis
The volume bars at the bottom of the chart show the trading activity. Higher volumes on up days suggest strong buying interest, a positive sign for the stock.

Backtesting Apple Stock Performance
To provide a comprehensive analysis, backtesting data can help understand how Apple stock has performed historically under similar conditions.

Methodology

  1. Data Collection: Historical stock prices and volume data for Apple over the past 10 years.
  2. Indicators Used: Moving averages (50-day and 200-day), Relative Strength Index (RSI), and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
  3. Criteria: Identify periods where Apple stock crossed above the 200-day moving average with increased volume.

Results

  1. Annual Returns: Apple stock has shown an average annual return of 20% over the past decade.
  2. Moving Average Cross: When Apple stock crossed above its 200-day moving average, the subsequent 6-month return averaged 12%.
  3. RSI Analysis: Periods where the RSI indicated overbought conditions (>70) often led to short-term pullbacks but did not alter the long-term uptrend.
  4. MACD Trends: Bullish MACD crossovers aligned with significant upward movements in stock price.

Conclusion
Apple's milestone of closing above a $3.5 trillion market cap underscores its dominant position in the global market. The company's consistent innovation, strong financial performance, and strategic market positioning continue to drive its stock upward. Despite potential headwinds such as cautious consumer spending, Apple's historical resilience and strong technical indicators suggest a favorable outlook for long-term investors.
As Apple sets new records, investors and analysts alike will closely monitor its performance, particularly in light of new product launches and market dynamics. With its robust financial health and track record of achieving significant milestones, Apple remains a formidable player in the technology sector.

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