GET DAILY SIGNALSAutodesk (ADSK) +19.4% Gain Over 30 Days: Rebound from Oversold Levels
Key Takeaways
- Autodesk (ADSK) gained roughly 19.4% over the 30 days through late October 2026, climbing from about $209.00 to $249.61 per share.
- The advance largely reflects a rebound from an oversold September pullback rather than a move to new highs; the stock remains well below its 52-week high near $320.
- Over the trailing quarter the stock is up about 6%, but the path was volatile: a late-August peak near $271, a late-September trough near $203, and an October recovery.
- Near-term drivers include analyst upgrades, a leadership change atop the AEC business, and renewed momentum in the AI and cloud narrative.
- Fiscal 2027 second-quarter results, reported in late August, beat expectations with revenue up 16% year over year, alongside a raised full-year outlook and the closing of the $3.6 billion MaintainX acquisition.
- For additional detail on this ticker, explore Autodesk's Price Targets, Earnings, and Forecast.
- Explore Trending AI Robots to see AI-driven trading strategies across the market.
Autodesk (ADSK) Company Overview and Market Position
Autodesk, Inc. is a global provider of 3D design, engineering, and entertainment software. Its flagship products include AutoCAD, Revit, and Fusion 360, along with media and entertainment tools used across film and gaming. The company has completed a multi-year transition to a subscription-based business model and organizes its offerings around three industry clouds: Forma for architecture, engineering, and construction (AEC); Fusion for design and manufacturing; and Flow for media and entertainment. Investors follow Autodesk for its recurring revenue profile, its central role in the design-to-make-to-operate lifecycle, and its push into AI, cloud, and digital-twin capabilities. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the stock compares to others in the industry.
Autodesk (ADSK) Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter
Over the last 30 days, ADSK rose from a closing price of $209.00 on September 30, 2026, to $249.61 on October 30, 2026, a gain of about 19.4%. The move extended a rebound that began after the stock bottomed near $203 in late September.
The quarterly picture is more measured. Measured from early August, when shares traded around $234.71, the stock is up roughly 6% through late October. That modest net gain, however, conceals a wide trading range: shares reached about $270.58 in late August, slid to roughly $203.18 in late September, and then recovered through October. The result is a stock that has repaired much of its September damage but remains below its highs for the year. From what I see, this kind of volatility often creates opportunities worth monitoring closely.
What Drove ADSK Stock Price in the Last 30 Days
The 30-day advance was driven primarily by a recovery from deeply oversold conditions rather than a single earnings catalyst. Several verified developments supported the turnaround. On October 6, Autodesk named Diana Colella executive vice president of its AEC business, a move investors interpreted as a renewed focus on AI and cloud growth. A series of analyst actions also helped sentiment: Goldman Sachs upgraded the stock to Outperform with a $265 target, Piper Sandler assumed coverage with an Overweight rating, and other firms raised targets or reiterated Buy ratings.
Broader sector momentum contributed as well. When Schneider Electric announced plans to acquire PTC for $205 per share, design-software peers including Autodesk advanced in sympathy. Autodesk's own agentic-AI announcements across its Forma, Fusion, and Flow clouds reinforced the AI narrative that supported the wider software complex during the period.
What Drove ADSK Stock Performance Over the Last Quarter
The trailing three months tell a story of strong fundamentals colliding with valuation and macro concerns. Autodesk reported fiscal 2027 second-quarter results on August 27, 2026: revenue rose 16% year over year to $2.05 billion, non-GAAP earnings per share reached $3.30, and management raised full-year billings guidance to $8.575–$8.65 billion and revenue guidance to $8.295–$8.345 billion. The quarter also included the August closing of the $3.6 billion MaintainX acquisition, Autodesk's largest deal to date.
Despite the upbeat results, shares sold off through September as investors weighed MaintainX integration costs, near-term margin dilution, softer architecture and construction demand indicators, and broader market pressure. The October recovery reflected a shift back toward the company's growth and AI story, supported by the analyst upgrades and leadership change noted above. I’m watching this closely as integration progress could shape near-term margins.
ADSK Stock Forecast Drivers: What Investors Should Watch Next
Investors should watch Autodesk's fiscal 2027 third-quarter results, covering the period ending October 31, 2026, which are expected to be reported in late November or early December. Analyst consensus points to continued revenue growth, and guidance around the new transaction model and multi-year renewal dynamics will be closely scrutinized.
Beyond earnings, key factors include the pace of MaintainX integration and its impact on operating margins, the trajectory of AEC and manufacturing demand, and broader macroeconomic indicators such as construction activity and manufacturing PMIs. Autodesk has also flagged a large enterprise business agreement renewal cohort concentrated in its fiscal fourth quarter, which could influence billings. Progress on AI monetization and cloud adoption will remain central to the long-term narrative. One thing that stands out here is how AI-driven signals might help track these developments.
Using Tickeron AI Tools for Deeper Analysis
In my own research process, I frequently turn to Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots to review top-performing, data-driven strategies across thousands of tickers. The platform curates bots by strategy and timeframe, which helps me compare systematic approaches without relying solely on manual charts. It offers a practical way to cross-check ideas like the recent ADSK rebound against broader market patterns.
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Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
Momentum Indicator for ADSK turns positive, indicating new upward trend
ADSK saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 30, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 84 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 65 of the 84 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 77%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ADSK just turned positive on October 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where ADSK's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
ADSK moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for ADSK crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
Following a +2.37% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ADSK advanced for three days, in 209 of 328 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 139 of 198 cases where ADSK Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 70%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for ADSK moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 36 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 20 of the 36 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 56%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 40 of 56 cases where ADSK's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ADSK declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
ADSK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 19 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ADSK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 83 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (15.421) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.586). P/E Ratio (32.125) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.399). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.797) is also within normal values, averaging (2.824). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.073) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.024) is also within normal values, averaging (70.854).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 88 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ADSK’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.
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a developer of multimedia software products
Industry PackagedSoftware
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