GET DAILY SIGNALSBoeing (BA) Stock Slides -13.5% in 30 Days After Earnings Miss
Key Takeaways
- Boeing shares declined roughly 13.5% over the last 30 days, falling from about $198 to near $171.
- The pullback intensified after third-quarter 2026 results, when an adjusted loss of $0.34 per share missed the roughly $0.21 consensus estimate.
- Positive developments, including FAA certification of the 737 MAX 10, the U.S. Navy's F/A-XX fighter award, and a ratified engineers' contract, were largely priced in and did not stem the slide.
- Commercial Airplanes revenue slipped about 3% and the segment posted a $697 million operating loss, outweighing stronger defense and services results.
- Over the last quarter, BA has declined about 19% and now trades more than 30% below its 52-week high.
- Analysts trimmed price targets but kept a broadly positive stance, with most still rating the stock a Buy.
- For additional context on valuation and expectations, explore Boeing's Price Targets, Earnings, and Forecast pages.
- Readers seeking automated trading insights can also review Trending AI Robots.
Boeing (BA) Company Overview
The Boeing Company remains one of the world's largest aerospace and defense manufacturers, with three main segments. Its Commercial Airplanes division builds the 737, 767, 777, and 787 families, while Defense, Space & Security focuses on military aircraft, weapons systems, and space hardware. Boeing Global Services handles aftermarket parts, maintenance, and training. As a Dow Jones component with a substantial order backlog, BA serves as a key indicator of the commercial aviation cycle and defense spending trends. I track the stock for signals on deliveries, free cash flow, and ongoing recovery efforts.
BA Stock Performance: 30 Days and the Quarter
Over the last 30 days, BA declined about 13.5%, moving from a closing level near $198 to roughly $171. The drop accelerated after third-quarter earnings, with the stock falling about 9% in one session on the wider loss. The quarterly picture shows a similar pattern. From late-July levels around $211 to the current price near $171, shares have dropped roughly 19%. The stock sits more than 30% below its 52-week high of approximately $254. This steady downtrend has continued despite several positive headlines, highlighting ongoing concerns around production and cash generation. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the stock compares to others in the industry.
What Drove the Recent Decline
The immediate catalyst was Boeing's third-quarter 2026 report. The company posted a net loss of $116 million on revenue of $24.2 billion, up 4% year over year. The adjusted loss of $0.34 per share missed the consensus estimate of roughly $0.21, and Commercial Airplanes revenue declined about 3% to $10.7 billion with a $697 million operating loss. Free cash flow of $464 million beat expectations, yet weaker commercial results and higher costs dominated. Several good-news items failed to lift sentiment. The FAA certified the 737 MAX 10 in October after the MAX 7 approval in August, Boeing won the U.S. Navy's F/A-XX contract in late September, and engineers ratified a new contract in early October. Analysts viewed these as already priced in. Firms including Morgan Stanley, RBC Capital, Bernstein, and Cowen lowered targets. Supply-chain issues, slower progress toward 47 737s per month, and a 777 supplier dispute added pressure.
Quarterly Pressures Beyond One Earnings Report
The broader quarterly slide reflects stalled progress on production and cash flow rather than a single event. Despite record 737 MAX deliveries through the first nine months of 2026, Boeing has struggled to stabilize output at 47 jets per month and raise 787 production from eight to ten per month. Rising costs, supply-chain bottlenecks, and higher oil prices have added challenges. Defense and services showed strength, with Defense, Space & Security revenue up 15% and Global Services up 4%. Total backlog reached a record $745 billion. Still, focus remains on free cash flow and delivery momentum, where results have lagged initial guidance.
Key Factors to Watch Going Forward
Looking ahead, operational execution will matter most. Investors will monitor whether BA can stabilize 737 production at 47 aircraft per month, accelerate 787 output, and resolve 777 disruptions. Progress on the 777X, still targeted for first delivery in 2027, remains important. Free cash flow guidance stays in focus, especially after earlier signals that the full-year 2026 target could fall short of $2 billion. Defense budgets, commercial delivery trends, and supply-chain costs will also shape the path. These elements, more than headline numbers, are likely to drive the stock in coming months.
AI Tools in My Research Process
In my research, I often turn to Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots to see how automated strategies are positioned across the market. The page highlights top-performing bots from a marketplace of hundreds, helping filter noise and offering perspective on data-driven approaches that complement manual analysis.
Disclaimer
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Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
BA's RSI Indicator ascending out of oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for BA moved out of oversold territory on October 01, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 25 of the 32 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 78%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BA just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where BA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 27 of 40 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
Following a +1.43% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BA advanced for three days, in 213 of 320 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
BA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 42 of 61 cases where BA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BA as a result. In 53 of 74 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
The Aroon Indicator for BA entered a downward trend on October 26, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. BA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 78 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 87 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: BA's P/B Ratio (24.423) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (4.846). P/E Ratio (67.495) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.894). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.373) is also within normal values, averaging (2.564). Dividend Yield (0.044) settles around the average of (0.060) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.675) is also within normal values, averaging (18.330).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a manufacturer of jetliners, aircraft and related products
Industry AerospaceDefense
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