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Bumble (BMBL, $23.75) posts wider-than-expected Q4 loss
Bumble reported its fourth quarter results that fell short of analysts’ expectations.
The online dating platform posted a net loss of -8 cents per share, wider than the -2 cents a share loss expected by analysts polled by FactSet.
The company’s revenue came in at $208.2 million, vs. analysts’ forecast of $209.6 million.
Total paying users count climbed +10.6% year-over-year to 3 million. Total average revenue per paying user rose by $2.81 to $22.83.
For the first quarter, Bumble expects revenue in the range of $207 million to $210 million. That includes about $2 million of lost revenue due to the crisis in Ukraine and the firm’s decision to pull its app from Russia and Belarus.
Looking farther ahead, the firm projects revenue between $934 million and $944 million for the full fiscal year, compared to analyst expectations of $939.1 million (according to FactSe
BMBL sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
BMBL saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on May 05, 2022. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 10 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 9 of the 10 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 90%.
Current price $25.54 is above $-3.87 the highest support line found by A.I. Throughout the month of 04/12/22 - 05/13/22, the price experienced a +0.59% Uptrend. During the week of 05/06/22 - 05/13/22, the stock enjoyed a +17% Uptrend growth.
The 10-day Moving Average for BMBL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 22, 2022. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 3 of 3 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BMBL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
The Aroon Indicator for BMBL entered a downward trend on May 11, 2022. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where BMBL's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 6 of 6 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Stochastic Indicator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 11 of 17 cases where BMBL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 13, 2022. You may want to consider a long position or call options on BMBL as a result. In 12 of 19 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
BMBL moved above its 50-day Moving Average on May 13, 2022 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +44.87% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BMBL advanced for three days, in 36 of 49 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
BMBL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Tickeron has a negative outlook on this ticker and predicts a further decline by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 77%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1.09 to 1.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BMBL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 95 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 77 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. BMBL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 42 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.047) is normal, around the industry mean (16.471). P/E Ratio (17.271) is within average values for comparable stocks, (154.113). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (4.591). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.027) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.427) is also within normal values, averaging (124.483).
Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.
The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 6.2B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 580 to 2T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 2T. The lowest valued company is NANN at 580.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -4.35%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -15.54%, and the average quarterly price growth was -24.27%. LAAB experienced the highest price growth at 126%, while SGNI experienced the biggest fall at -97.03%.
- 5/14/22 4:23 AM: Bumble (BMBL, $25.54) was a top weekly gainer, with a +16.57% jump
- 5/5/22 4:57 AM: Bumble (BMBL, $25.46) was a top weekly gainer, with a +9.65% jump
- 4/20/22 8:58 AM: Bumble (BMBL, $27.19) was a top weekly gainer, with a +7.09% jump
The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 19.51%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 113.59% and the average quarterly volume growth was 41.14%
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Stocks in the group have a Negative Outlook today, backed by the MA50 Indicator. Tickeron has a negative outlook on this group and predicts a further decline by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 55%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1 to 1.2.
6 stocks in the group of tickers confirmed the negative outlook based on the TrendWeek indicator with average odds of 69%.
The average market capitalization across the group is 4.6B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 26.4M to 15.8B. AKAM holds the highest valuation in this group at 15.8B. The lowest valued company is BSQR at 26.4M.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the group was -0.97%. For the same group, the average monthly price growth was -18.47%, and the average quarterly price growth was -37.91%. IMMR experienced the highest price growth at 16.96%, while STEM experienced the biggest fall at -11.72%.
- 5/14/22 4:23 AM: Immersion (IMMR, $5.31) was a top weekly gainer, with a +16.96% jump
- 5/7/22 5:28 AM: Stem (STEM, $8.79) was a top weekly gainer, with a +22.59% jump
- 4/27/22 5:34 AM: Akamai Technologies (AKAM, $115.03) was a top loser this week, declining -5.2%
The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the group was 1.54%. For the same stocks of the group, the average monthly volume growth was 93.82% and the average quarterly volume growth was 1.4%
- 4/15/22 4:33 AM: The volume for Allot stock increased for one day, resulting in a record-breaking daily growth of 396% of the 65-Day Volume Moving Average
- 3/19/22 4:44 AM: The volume for Allot stock increased for one day, resulting in a record-breaking daily growth of 609% of the 65-Day Volume Moving Average
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Activision Blizzard (NASDAQ:ATVI), NetEase (NASDAQ:NTES), Shopify (NYSE:SHOP), Block (NYSE:SQ).
Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.
The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 6.2B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 580 to 2T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 2T. The lowest valued company is NANN at 580.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -4.35%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -15.54%, and the average quarterly price growth was -24.27%. LAAB experienced the highest price growth at 126%, while SGNI experienced the biggest fall at -97.03%.
- 5/14/22 4:23 AM: Immersion (IMMR, $5.31) was a top weekly gainer, with a +16.96% jump
- 5/7/22 5:28 AM: Stem (STEM, $8.79) was a top weekly gainer, with a +22.59% jump
- 4/27/22 5:34 AM: Akamai Technologies (AKAM, $115.03) was a top loser this week, declining -5.2%
The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 19.51%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 113.57% and the average quarterly volume growth was 41.15%
- 4/15/22 4:33 AM: The volume for Allot stock increased for one day, resulting in a record-breaking daily growth of 396% of the 65-Day Volume Moving Average
- 3/19/22 4:44 AM: The volume for Allot stock increased for one day, resulting in a record-breaking daily growth of 609% of the 65-Day Volume Moving Average
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
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