D.R. Horton (DHI, $87.98) slashes sales outlook, on supply chain constraints
D.R. Horton Inc. lowered its forecast for annual revenue and homes closed, on supply chain challenges such as shortages and delivery delays in building materials as well as a tight labor market.
The homebuilding company now expects homes closed between 81,300 and 81,700, down from its prior forecast of 83,000 to 84,500 homes. It now projects its revenue for fiscal 2021 in the range of $27.4 billion to $27.6 billion, compared to the previous expectation of $27.6 billion to $28.1 billion.
However, the company expects higher current-quarter home sales gross margin as limited home inventory relative to strong demand is pushing prices upward.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
DHI in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on September 08, 2026
DHI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 18 of 27 cases where DHI's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 45 of 70 cases where DHI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
Following a +1.68% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DHI advanced for three days, in 197 of 300 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 171 of 259 cases where DHI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 66%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 27, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on DHI as a result. In 47 of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for DHI turned negative on August 28, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 31 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 61%.
DHI moved below its 50-day moving average on August 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 50-day moving average for DHI moved below the 200-day moving average on September 08, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DHI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. DHI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 70, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 63 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.624) is normal, around the industry mean (1.952). P/E Ratio (13.186) is within average values for comparable stocks, (22.958). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.161) is also within normal values, averaging (3.168). Dividend Yield (0.013) settles around the average of (0.027) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.205) is also within normal values, averaging (24.216).
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Advertisement
General Information
a company which engages in construction and sale of single family homes
Industry Homebuilding
Advertisement