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Aug 13, 2024

Dow Drops 1000 Points Amid Tech Troubles and Currency Volatility

The stock market experienced significant losses as investors sold off U.S. shares and exited positions in the Japanese yen, which has been appreciating against the dollar due to interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan. The Dow dropped by 1,033 points (2.6%), the S&P 500 fell by 3%, and the Nasdaq declined by 3.4%.

Technology stocks, particularly those tied to artificial intelligence, were hit hard. Nvidia fell by 6.7%, and Intel dropped over 7%. The downturn followed a weaker-than-expected July jobs report, sparking fears that high interest rates might be stifling the U.S. economy.

The market rout deepened as investors unwound "carry trades," which involved borrowing in yen at low interest rates to invest in higher-yielding assets. The yen strengthened after the Bank of Japan raised interest rates to a 15-year high, leading to further market declines.

In response to the turmoil, Treasury yields dipped as investors sought the safety of government bonds. Despite the sell-off, analysts suggest the U.S. economy remains fundamentally sound, though the Federal Reserve faces pressure to cut rates.

Goldman Sachs and other banks now predict multiple rate cuts from the Fed later this year to stimulate the economy. Rising unemployment and the Sahm rule, which signals a recession, add to concerns. However, some analysts argue that the market's decline is more about investor positioning than underlying economic weakness.

Related Ticker: NVDA

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


Aroon Indicator for NVDA shows an upward move is likely

NVDA's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on September 01, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 348 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 348 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 57 cases where NVDA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

NVDA moved above its 50-day moving average on August 03, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for NVDA crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 10, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NVDA advanced for three days, in of 356 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

NVDA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 28, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NVDA as a result. In of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NVDA turned negative on August 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NVDA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NVDA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: NVDA's P/B Ratio (22.936) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (7.100). P/E Ratio (27.489) is within average values for comparable stocks, (152.781). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.557) is also within normal values, averaging (1.557). NVDA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.001) as compared to the industry average of (0.016). P/S Ratio (17.513) is also within normal values, averaging (51.928).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (NYSE:TSM), Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO), Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), Intel Corp (NASDAQ:INTC), Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN), Marvell Technology (NASDAQ:MRVL), QUALCOMM (NASDAQ:QCOM), Analog Devices (NASDAQ:ADI).

Industry description

The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Semiconductors Industry is 198.61B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 13.43K to 5.25T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 5.25T. The lowest valued company is CYBL at 13.43K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -4%, and the average quarterly price growth was 40%. UMC experienced the highest price growth at 4%, while PRSO experienced the biggest fall at -15%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was 13%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -21% and the average quarterly volume growth was -42%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 59
P/E Growth Rating: 55
Price Growth Rating: 52
SMR Rating: 74
Profit Risk Rating: 76
Seasonality Score: -15 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a manufacturer of computer graphics processors, chipsets, and related multimedia software

Industry Semiconductors

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Industry
Semiconductors
Address
2788 San Tomas Expressway
Phone
+1 408 486-2000
Employees
42000
Web
https://www.nvidia.com
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