XMTR (Xometry) is down more than 21% today because, despite reporting record growth and an earnings beat, the company announced a CEO transition and investors used the news to take profits after a big prior run‑up, with heavy short interest amplifying the drop.
Why XMTR fell over 21%
Xometry posted very strong Q4 2025 numbers: revenue grew about 30% year over year to roughly 192 million, marketplace revenue grew over 30%, and EPS and revenue both beat analyst estimates.
At the same time, the company announced that long‑time CEO Randy Altschuler will step down effective July 1, 2026, to be succeeded by current president Sanjeev (Sanjeev/Sanjiv) Singh Sahni, introducing leadership uncertainty right as the company pushes toward its next growth phase.
The stock had previously more than doubled over the past year and was trading near its 52‑week highs, while short interest sat around 30% of the float; in that context, the leadership change plus “priced‑for‑perfection” valuation triggered aggressive profit‑taking and short‑seller pressure, dragging the stock down over 20% in one session.
How the market is interpreting it
The fundamentals of the quarter—record revenue, improving EBITDA, and guidance for continued growth—remain strong, but the reaction shows that investors were worried about sustainability of the rally, leadership transition risk, and the possibility that expectations had gotten ahead of themselves.
Tickeron AI Perspective
The 10-day moving average for XMTR crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 14 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 16, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on XMTR as a result. In 65 of 81 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XMTR just turned positive on September 17, 2026. Looking at past instances where XMTR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
XMTR moved above its 50-day moving average on September 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +3.64% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XMTR advanced for three days, in 284 of 333 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 211 of 237 cases where XMTR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 89%.
The 10-day RSI Indicator for XMTR moved out of overbought territory on September 24, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 29 of the 38 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 76%.
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XMTR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.
XMTR broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. XMTR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 81 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (9.940) is normal, around the industry mean (7.841). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (134.538). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.538). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.009) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.013) is also within normal values, averaging (3.013).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Industry ElectronicsDistributors