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Nov 04, 2026
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FXD vs XRT: Weighing Two Paths to Consumer Discretionary Exposure

FXD vs XRT: Weighing Two Paths to Consumer Discretionary Exposure

Key Takeaways

  • FXD is a smart-beta, multi-factor fund covering the broad consumer discretionary universe, while XRT is a pure-play, equal-weighted retail basket — two overlapping but structurally distinct exposures.
  • FXD casts a wider net across autos, travel, leisure, media, and retail (roughly 113–119 holdings), whereas XRT concentrates on ~73–80 retail names across apparel, food, drug, auto, and e-commerce sub-industries.
  • XRT carries a meaningfully lower expense ratio (0.35%) than FXD (0.60%), a durable structural advantage over longer holding periods.
  • FXD tilts toward large- and mid-cap names selected by value and growth factors; XRT has a heavier small- and mid-cap skew through modified equal weighting.
  • Both funds are economically sensitive, but XRT has historically exhibited higher volatility and beta than FXD, reflecting its purer consumer-driven, small-cap retail exposure.
  • Tickeron AI Verdict: XRT is the preferred ticker based on cost efficiency, equal-weight diversification, and purer thematic positioning.

Why These Two ETFs Matter for Consumer Plays

Consumer-focused ETFs often act as useful gauges of household spending, wage trends, and overall economic sentiment. Placing FXD and XRT side by side is helpful because the funds occupy adjacent but distinct spaces. FXD provides broad, factor-driven exposure across the full consumer discretionary sector, while XRT narrows in on the retail industry itself. They are not direct substitutes; instead, each offers a different way to express a view on U.S. consumer strength and rotation. Examining their construction, costs, and risk profiles helps match the right vehicle to a particular outlook.

FXD: Broad Discretionary Exposure with a Factor Tilt

FXD tracks the StrataQuant Consumer Discretionary Index, which applies the AlphaDEX methodology to the Russell 1000. It ranks large- and mid-cap consumer discretionary stocks on growth metrics such as price appreciation and sales growth, along with value measures like book-to-price and cash flow, then overweights the top quintiles. The index is rebalanced quarterly. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the stock compares to others in the industry.

The fund typically holds 113 to 119 securities, with consumer discretionary making up about 75% of assets and smaller allocations to industrials, communication services, and consumer staples. Recent top holdings have included PVH, DDS, GAP, M, and FOXA, with the top ten usually under 20% of assets. FXD has a net expense ratio of 0.60% and a three-year beta around 1.1–1.2.

XRT: Focused Retail Exposure Through Equal Weighting

XRT tracks the S&P Retail Select Industry Index, covering apparel, automotive, food and drug, department stores, broadline and specialty retail, and e-commerce within the broader S&P Total Market Index. It applies modified equal weighting, which periodically rebalances to give small-, mid-, and large-cap names more balanced influence and reduce mega-cap concentration.

The fund holds roughly 73 to 80 stocks, with consumer discretionary at about 78–79% of assets and consumer staples near 20%, plus minor healthcare and technology exposure. Recent top holdings have included ANF, AEO, BURL, FIVE, and EBAY, with the top ten around 16–19% of the portfolio. XRT carries a net expense ratio of 0.35% and has shown a beta near 1.16–1.24 along with higher three-year standard deviation than FXD.

Shared Themes and Key Differences in the Market Backdrop

Both funds respond to U.S. consumer spending dynamics, including employment, wages, inflation, interest rates, and confidence levels. Retail has faced shifts toward e-commerce, margin pressure, and inventory challenges, while categories such as travel, restaurants, and media—more prominent in FXD—follow separate spending patterns. Recent cycles have shown divergence between higher-income and value-focused consumers, with discount retailers gaining from trade-down behavior. Interest-rate expectations and tariff developments add further variables, which can cause the two funds to move differently even when overall sentiment holds steady.

Performance Patterns and Risk Considerations

Recent relative performance has largely tracked the structural distinctions between the funds. XRT’s equal-weight, small- and mid-cap retail focus has made it more responsive to earnings revisions in specialty and apparel names and to shifts in consumer spending cycles. FXD, by comparison, has benefited from non-retail discretionary areas such as autos, travel, and media. On a risk-adjusted basis, FXD has tended to show lower volatility and beta, though its higher expense ratio becomes more noticeable over time. XRT amplifies reactions to retail-specific data releases, while FXD’s broader mix and factor approach provide some smoothing.

Exploring Tickeron AI Tools

When comparing ETFs such as these, I frequently use Tickeron’s AI Screener to quickly filter on technical patterns, fundamentals, and relative strength. It surfaces momentum shifts and helps refine positioning decisions in a data-driven way without manual effort across thousands of names.

Tickeron AI Verdict

After reviewing the key factors, the Tickeron AI currently leans toward XRT over FXD. The main drivers are structural: the lower expense ratio of 0.35% versus 0.60% delivers a clear long-term cost edge, while the modified equal-weight approach spreads risk across a wider set of retail sub-industries. XRT also delivers more targeted retail exposure. Although FXD’s broader reach and factor tilt may suit investors seeking large-cap stability and lower volatility, its higher fees and less concentrated retail focus reduce its relative appeal here. The verdict therefore favors XRT for cost-efficient, retail-centric exposure, while noting that its higher beta and small-cap tilt bring greater volatility.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

Related Ticker: FXD, XRT

Momentum Indicator for FXD turns positive, indicating new upward trend

FXD saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 79 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 71 of the 79 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FXD just turned positive on September 29, 2026. Looking at past instances where FXD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 41 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.

FXD moved above its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for FXD crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 13 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.

Following a +1.13% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FXD advanced for three days, in 237 of 294 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 196 of 254 cases where FXD Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 77%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The 50-day moving average for FXD moved below the 200-day moving average on October 08, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FXD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.

FXD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN), Costco Wholesale Corp (NASDAQ:COST), Home Depot (NYSE:HD), Walt Disney Company (The) (NYSE:DIS), McDonald's Corp (NYSE:MCD), TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), Lowe's Companies (NYSE:LOW), Spotify Technology SA (NYSE:SPOT), Starbucks Corp (NASDAQ:SBUX).

Industry description

The investment seeks investment results that correspond generally to the price and yield (before the fund's fees and expenses) of an equity index called the StrataQuant® Consumer Discretionary Index. The fund will normally invest at least 90% of its net assets (including investment borrowings) in the securities that comprise the index. The index is a modified equal-dollar weighted index that seeks to objectively identify and select stocks from the Russell 1000® Index in the consumer discretionary sector that may generate positive alpha relative to traditional passive-style indices through the use of the AlphaDEX® selection methodology.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the First Trust Consumer Discretionary AlphaDEX Fund (FXD) ETF is 68.19B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 2.06B to 2.7T. AMZN holds the highest valuation in this group at 2.7T. The lowest valued company is WHR at 2.06B.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the First Trust Consumer Discretionary AlphaDEX Fund (FXD) ETF was 31%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was 51%, and the average quarterly price growth was 86%. CROX experienced the highest price growth at 29%, while BFAM experienced the biggest fall at -26%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the First Trust Consumer Discretionary AlphaDEX Fund (FXD) ETF was 20%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was -12% and the average quarterly volume growth was -26%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 66
P/E Growth Rating: 55
Price Growth Rating: 48
SMR Rating: 49
Profit Risk Rating: 71
Seasonality Score: 26 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

Category ConsumerDiscretionary

Category
Consumer Cyclical
Address
First Trust Exchange-Traded Alphadex Fd120 East Liberty Drive, Suite 400Wheaton
Phone
N/A
Web
www.ftportfolios.com
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FXD vs XRT: Weighing Two Paths to Consumer Discretionary Exposure