GET DAILY SIGNALSGrupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico (PAC): +11% Upside to $276 Analyst Target
Key Takeaways
- Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A.B. de C.V. (PAC), a Mexican airport operator whose American depositary receipts (ADRs) trade on the NYSE, closed near $248.63 in early November 2026.
- The central $276 target implies roughly 11% upside from that price.
- Because the overall average of the eight analyst targets reviewed (about $270) sits less than 10% above the current price, the central target is the average of the seven targets that sit above the current price, rounded to $276.
- The individual targets reviewed range from about $225 to $285, reflecting genuine disagreement over valuation.
- Key supports are recovering passenger traffic, tourism and nearshoring demand, and a series of 2025–2026 rating upgrades; the main risks are Mexican airport-tariff regulation, currency volatility, and any renewed traffic slowdown.
- Track the company's Major News, Today's Price Move, Forecast, and Earnings pages for ongoing coverage and updated estimates.
- For data-driven idea generation, explore Trending AI Robots.
What the Analysts Are Saying
Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, commonly called GAP, operates 12 airports across central and northwestern Mexico plus two in Jamaica, making it the largest Mexican airport operator by passenger traffic. Its ADRs trade under the ticker PAC, and sell-side coverage is split between firms that publish targets in U.S. dollars for the ADR and those that publish targets in Mexican pesos for the local listing.
Focusing on the USD-denominated ADR targets, eight were reviewed: HSBC at $277 (October 2026, Buy), Goldman Sachs at $275 (August 2026, Buy), Jefferies at $280 (Hold), Bradesco BBI at $285 (Outperform), Banco Santander at $262 (Buy), BofA Securities at $280 (Buy), Scotiabank at $272 (Sector Perform), and Morgan Stanley at $225 (Equal Weight). The overall mean is about $270, with a range of roughly $225 to $285. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the stock compares to others in the industry.
Because $270 represents less than a 10% move from the latest price, the central target used here is the arithmetic mean of the seven targets above the current price — approximately $275.86, rounded to $276. This is a calculated figure, not an officially published consensus. The wide $225-to-$285 spread shows that bullish analysts emphasize traffic recovery and valuation, while more cautious analysts weigh regulatory and currency risks.
Current Market Position and Path Toward the Target
With the stock near $248.63, reaching $276 would require about an 11% advance — a substantial, though not extreme, move. The shares have already been climbing, rising more than 20% over the prior month and trading well above the 52-week low near $193 but still below the 52-week high around $300.
A move toward $276 would likely depend on continued growth in passenger traffic across the company's airports, stable or improving airport tariffs, and sustained investor appetite for Mexican transportation equities. The stock's earnings multiple is in the low-to-mid 20s, so further upside would need to be driven by fundamentals rather than multiple expansion alone.
What Could Support a Move Toward the Target
- Traffic recovery and diversification. GAP's portfolio spans tourism hubs such as Los Cabos and Puerto Vallarta and industrial gateways such as Guadalajara and Tijuana, giving it exposure to both leisure travel and Mexico's manufacturing and nearshoring boom.
- Analyst momentum. HSBC upgraded the stock to Buy in October 2026, Goldman Sachs and Bradesco BBI hold Buy/Outperform ratings, and JPMorgan earlier cited attractive valuation in upgrading to Overweight.
- Dividend and cash generation. Airport operators typically convert traffic into strong cash flow, and PAC has a history of returning capital to shareholders.
What Could Prevent the Target From Being Reached
- Tariff regulation. Mexican authorities periodically review maximum airport tariffs, and any unfavorable reset would pressure revenue directly.
- Traffic softness. Monthly traffic has been uneven, including a year-over-year decline in at least one recent month, which would weigh on the growth narrative.
- Currency and macro risk. As a Mexican operator reporting in pesos while the ADR trades in dollars, peso weakness and higher interest rates could dampen dollar-denominated returns and compress valuation.
Technical Levels and Market Structure
The stock recently reclaimed the $240–$245 zone and now faces resistance clustered around the $275–$285 area, where several analyst targets converge, with the 52-week high near $300 acting as a longer-term ceiling. Support sits near the $230–$240 range from the recent consolidation, with more durable support lower toward the $200–$210 zone. The $276 target therefore sits just beneath a well-defined resistance band. From what I see, this setup aligns with patterns I've noted in similar transportation names.
Time Horizon and What Investors Should Monitor
Most analyst price targets reflect a research horizon of roughly 12 months, though individual firms may differ. Investors should monitor monthly passenger-traffic reports, quarterly earnings and guidance, any announcements on Mexican airport-tariff reviews, peso-dollar moves, and further analyst revisions. Traffic data in particular tends to move the shares because it is a leading indicator of revenue. I'm watching this closely for any shifts in the coming months.
Final Assessment
The central $276 target — the average of the seven analyst price targets above the current price — implies roughly an 11% advance from a level near $248.63. Support for the move rests on diversified traffic growth, tourism and nearshoring tailwinds, and a run of analyst upgrades, while the main obstacles are tariff regulation, currency volatility, and the stock's position just below a resistance band around $275–$285. With the full analyst range spanning roughly $225 to $285, expectations vary meaningfully, and no outcome is guaranteed. The most important signals to watch next are monthly traffic figures, tariff decisions, and the next earnings update.
AI Daily Buy/Sell Signals
In my own research process, Tickeron's AI Daily Buy/Sell Signals have become a useful addition. They use artificial intelligence to continuously scan thousands of stocks and ETFs and generate Buy, Sell, or Hold signals based on shifting market conditions, technical behavior, and AI-driven analysis. Traders can use the tool to surface opportunities, keep an eye on existing positions, and spot changing trends more efficiently than manual screening. For those following PAC or the broader transportation sector, the signals offer a complementary, data-driven layer on top of fundamental research.
Disclaimer
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Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
PAC in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026
The 10-day moving average for PAC crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 15 of 22 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 20, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PAC as a result. In 55 of 81 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PAC just turned positive on October 19, 2026. Looking at past instances where PAC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 32 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
PAC moved above its 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +4.75% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PAC advanced for three days, in 221 of 330 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 6 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 12 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PAC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
PAC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 8 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 30 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 64, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 37 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.281) is normal, around the industry mean (0.918). P/E Ratio (1.348) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-5.910). PAC's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.072) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.572). Dividend Yield (0.072) settles around the average of (0.050) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.885) is also within normal values, averaging (8.002).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PAC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
Industry description
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
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General Information
an operator of airports in Mexico
Industry AirFreightCouriers
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