After unsettling investors last quarter with a muted outlook for fiscal 2019, Dollar General's (NYSE: DG) first-quarter results released Thursday indicated that the current year may yet hold promise. The dollar store retailing behemoth posted healthy revenue and comparable sales advances, as well as credible bottom-line growth, in the first three months of 2019. Let's sift through the most important details of the quarter below, and also review management's outlook for the remainder of the year. Note that all comparative numbers in this article are presented against the prior-year quarter.
DG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In 30 of the 44 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at 68%.
The 10-day RSI Indicator for DG moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 31 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 20 of the 31 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 65%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 41 of 69 cases where DG's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for DG turned negative on October 27, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 32 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 64%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.
The Aroon Indicator for DG entered a downward trend on October 13, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 06, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on DG as a result. In 53 of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
DG moved above its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for DG crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 7 of 11 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
The 50-day moving average for DG moved above the 200-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a +3.40% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DG advanced for three days, in 195 of 311 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 29 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. DG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 76 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.013) is normal, around the industry mean (5.555). P/E Ratio (16.411) is within average values for comparable stocks, (23.551). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.653) is also within normal values, averaging (2.171). Dividend Yield (0.019) settles around the average of (0.010) among similar stocks. DG's P/S Ratio (0.624) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.008).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DG’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 60, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
an operator of retail stores
Industry DiscountStores