DG Dollar General Corp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

DG in downward trend: 10-day moving average crossed below 50-day moving average on September 22, 2026

The 10-day moving average for DG crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 11 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 15, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on DG as a result. In 63 of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for DG turned negative on September 10, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 28 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 56%.

DG moved below its 50-day moving average on September 18, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 63%.

DG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 01, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +5.03% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DG advanced for three days, in 194 of 309 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. DG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 68 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.913) is normal, around the industry mean (7.056). P/E Ratio (15.926) is within average values for comparable stocks, (36.288). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.630) is also within normal values, averaging (2.144). Dividend Yield (0.019) settles around the average of (0.009) among similar stocks. DG's P/S Ratio (0.624) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.008).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DG’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 66, placing this stock worse than average.