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published in Blogs
Sep 03, 2018
Indonesia's Rupiah Is Bleeding

Indonesia's Rupiah Is Bleeding

Indonesia’s rupiah is severely hurting, and might plummet to new lows according to some analysts’ predictions.

Finding itself in the middle of emerging markets sell-offs propelled by crises in Turkey and Argentina, the rupiah has declined more than -6% over the last three months. What makes it potentially worse for Indonesia is the nation’s substantial trade deficit and its heavy dependence on oil imports.  Some analysts believe that rupiah's value per dollar could drop below 15,000, which would be the lowest point since the 1998 Asian financial crisis.

Bank Indonesia has hiked interest rates four times since May attempting to rein in the decline in rupiah.

Related Ticker: EIDO

EIDO's RSI Indicator ascends from oversold territory

The RSI Indicator for EIDO moved out of oversold territory on June 10, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 35 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 35 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for EIDO just turned positive on June 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where EIDO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EIDO advanced for three days, in of 283 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

EIDO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 26, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on EIDO as a result. In of 100 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EIDO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for EIDO entered a downward trend on June 17, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Industry description

The investment seeks to track the investment results of the MSCI Indonesia IMI 25/50 Index. The fund generally will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of the underlying index and in investments that have economic characteristics that are substantially identical to the component securities of the underlying index. The index is a free float-adjusted market capitalization-weighted index that is designed to measure the performance of the large-, mid- and small-capitalization segments of the equity market in Indonesia. The fund is non-diversified.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the iShares MSCI Indonesia ETF ETF is 5.41B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.13K to 116.34B. ANTM holds the highest valuation in this group at 116.34B. The lowest valued company is EXCL at 1.13K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the iShares MSCI Indonesia ETF ETF was -5%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was -7%, and the average quarterly price growth was -35%. HEAL experienced the highest price growth at 6%, while ACES experienced the biggest fall at -6%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the iShares MSCI Indonesia ETF ETF was -27%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was 321% and the average quarterly volume growth was 68%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 60
P/E Growth Rating: 48
Price Growth Rating: 56
SMR Rating: 53
Profit Risk Rating: 36
Seasonality Score: 30 (-100 ... +100)
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