GET DAILY SIGNALSJP Morgan (JPM, $141.82) surpasses Q4 earnings expectations
JPMorgan Chase posted its fourth-quarter earnings of $3.57 a share, crushing the Wall Street earnings estimates of $3.08 a share (based on FactSet data). The figure is also higher from the year-ago quarter’s level of $3.33 per share.
Net revenue increased to $35.57 billion from $30.35 billion in the year-ago quarter, and beat analysts’ expectations of $34.35 billion, (based on FactSet data).
The bank had $2.3 billion in reserves (including $1.4 billion added over the fourth quarter), exceeding analysts' prediction of a $1.8 billion for credit provisions, amidst "a modest deterioration” in the company’s macroeconomic outlook, now projecting a mild recession in the central scenario.
“The U.S. economy currently remains strong with consumers still spending excess cash and businesses healthy," said JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon. "However, we still do not know the ultimate effect of the headwinds coming from geopolitical tensions including the war in Ukraine, the vulnerable state of energy and food supplies, persistent inflation that is eroding purchasing power and has pushed interest rates higher, and the unprecedented quantitative tightening”.
"We remain vigilant and are prepared for whatever happens, so we can serve our customers, clients and communities around the world across a broad range of economic environments," he added.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
Momentum Indicator for JPM turns positive, indicating new upward trend
JPM saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 27, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 82 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 54 of the 82 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 66%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where JPM's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 15 of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 35 of 54 cases where JPM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for JPM just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where JPM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 28 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
Following a +1.27% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where JPM advanced for three days, in 217 of 364 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where JPM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
JPM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for JPM entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 1 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 9 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 21, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 38 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 51 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. JPM’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 90 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: JPM's P/B Ratio (2.525) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.515). P/E Ratio (14.362) is within average values for comparable stocks, (11.735). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.562) is also within normal values, averaging (2.139). Dividend Yield (0.020) settles around the average of (0.035) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.888) is also within normal values, averaging (3.867).
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