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Jun 24, 2023

KMX +6.00% vs NXPI +6.04%: Swing Trading Strategies for New Traders

Comparison of KMX and NXPI: Market Dynamics and Financial Analysis
Compare: Swing Trader for Beginners: Trading in Markets Trending Up (TA&FA) 6.00% for KMX vs  6.04% for NXPI

When delving into the world of investment, comparing different stocks allows you to make informed decisions based on their performance and industry trends. In this regard, we will explore two distinct stocks: KMX from the Specialty Stores industry and NXPI from the Semiconductors industry.

Market Trend Analysis

The investment strategies known as Swing Trader for Beginners: Trading in Markets Trending Up (TA&FA) demonstrated a relatively similar yield for both KMX and NXPI, with returns of 6.00% and 6.04% respectively. This similarity highlights the potential for positive returns regardless of the specific industry.

Price Growth Comparison

However, a disparity can be observed when considering the price change over the past week. KMX experienced a decrease of 1.76%, while NXPI showed a slightly less severe drop of 1.23%.

When considering the broader industry trends, the average weekly price growth in the Specialty Stores industry (which includes KMX) was +0.28%, reflecting a less volatile market compared to Semiconductors. The latter industry (which includes NXPI), on the other hand, showed a drop of -2.40% for the same period.

Delving further into the average monthly and quarterly price growth figures, the Semiconductors industry outpaces Specialty Stores significantly. With monthly and quarterly growth rates of +8.41% and +29.48% respectively, NXPI operates within an industry experiencing rapid expansion. Conversely, the Specialty Stores industry showed moderate growth rates of +3.69% monthly and +10.06% quarterly.

Upcoming Earnings Dates

Investors should note the reported earning dates: KMX is set to report earnings on September 28, 2023, whereas NXPI will report earlier, on July 24, 2023. These dates are pivotal, as they typically cause a significant market reaction and influence stock prices.

FA and TA Scores

The FA (Fundamental Analysis) score, which evaluates a company's financial health and stability, portrays a stronger outlook for NXPI, with 4 green FA ratings, compared to KMX, which has just one.

Similarly, the TA (Technical Analysis) score, which assesses a stock's performance based on recent trading activity, indicates that NXPI may have a more bullish market sentiment with 5 bullish indicators, in contrast to KMX’s 3.

Related Ticker: KMX

Momentum Indicator for KMX turns negative, indicating new downward trend

KMX saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on September 18, 2023. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 93 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 93 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 62 cases where KMX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

KMX moved below its 50-day moving average on September 18, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for KMX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 23, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KMX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for KMX entered a downward trend on August 23, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for KMX just turned positive on September 14, 2023. Looking at past instances where KMX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 41 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KMX advanced for three days, in of 320 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

KMX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. KMX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.229) is normal, around the industry mean (12.286). P/E Ratio (28.169) is within average values for comparable stocks, (24.817). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.260) is also within normal values, averaging (2.699). KMX has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.036). P/S Ratio (0.465) is also within normal values, averaging (82.606).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. KMX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Home Depot (NYSE:HD), Lowe's Companies (NYSE:LOW), AutoZone (NYSE:AZO), Tractor Supply Company (NASDAQ:TSCO), Ulta Beauty (NASDAQ:ULTA), Best Buy Company (NYSE:BBY), Five Below (NASDAQ:FIVE), Bath & Body Works (NYSE:BBWI), RH (NYSE:RH), GameStop Corp (NYSE:GME).

Industry description

The specialty stores sector includes companies dedicated to the sale of retail products focused on a single product category, such as clothing, carpet, books, or office supplies. A specialty store could face intense competition from big-box departmental chains, and therefore offering an adequate collection of the product type it specializes in is key in maintaining/growing its market.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Specialty Stores Industry is 6.67B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 48 to 310.88B. HD holds the highest valuation in this group at 310.88B. The lowest valued company is CALI at 48.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Specialty Stores Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 1%. GHST experienced the highest price growth at 33%, while SSILF experienced the biggest fall at -40%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Specialty Stores Industry was -7%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 6% and the average quarterly volume growth was -42%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 49
P/E Growth Rating: 54
Price Growth Rating: 56
SMR Rating: 66
Profit Risk Rating: 77
Seasonality Score: -9 (-100 ... +100)
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Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a holding company whose subsidiaries sell and finance used motor vehicles

Industry SpecialtyStores

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Specialty Stores
Address
12800 Tuckahoe Creek Parkway
Phone
+1 804 747-0422
Employees
30621
Web
https://www.carmax.com
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KMX and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KMX has been closely correlated with AN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 67% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if KMX jumps, then AN could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To KMX
1D Price
Change %
KMX100%
-0.76%
AN - KMX
67%
Closely correlated
-0.82%
LAD - KMX
63%
Loosely correlated
+0.32%
PAG - KMX
62%
Loosely correlated
-1.50%
ABG - KMX
61%
Loosely correlated
+0.70%
GPI - KMX
59%
Loosely correlated
-1.16%
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