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published in Blogs
Jul 30, 2024

Malls Sector Thrives( $CRI, $AEO, $GPS...): A Remarkable Average Monthly Gain📊

The 'malls' theme predominantly encompasses department stores and clothing retail chains. Brands such as Citi Trends, TJX Companies, and Boot Barn Holdings are at the forefront of this industry. What sets many of these players apart is their unique "off-price" business model, offering steep discounts that cater to the budget-conscious consumer.

🌐Tickers in Industry - $CRI, $AEO, $GPS, $JWN, $TJX, $CTRN, $CHS, $SPG, $BOOT, $SFIX

Swing Trader: Business Model (TA&FA) 

Notable Companies in the Malls Theme

Among the standouts in this sector are TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), Simon Property Group (NYSE:SPG), Gap (The) (NYSE:GPS), Nordstrom (NYSE:JWN), and Stitch Fix (NASDAQ:SFIX).

Market Capitalization Insights

The malls theme's market breadth is quite diverse. With an average market cap of $15.3B across the board, individual valuations range from as low as $10.9M to a staggering $101.9B. TJX Companies takes the crown with a valuation of $101.9B, while CBK remains at the lower end of the spectrum with a modest $10.9M.

Price Movements: Highlights from the Past Weeks

Although the average weekly price growth for the entire malls theme saw a slight dip of -1.69%, the monthly gain paints a rosier picture. An impressive average monthly rise of 10.84% was witnessed. Not to be outdone, the quarterly growth stood at 15.21%. Among the highlights, Stitch Fix (SFIX) showcased a stellar performance with a weekly gain of 11.88%. However, not all companies basked in the upward trend, with BOOT marking a decline of -3.68%.

  • Noteworthy Events:
    • On 10/21/23, Stitch Fix (SFIX, $3.39) emerged as the week's champion with an 11.88% surge.
    • Contrastingly, on 10/3/23, Simon Property Group (SPG, $104.63) faced headwinds, dropping by -6.69%.
    • Earlier, on 9/20/23, Stitch Fix (SFIX, $3.42) had its challenges, marking a decrease of -8.06%.

Volume Analysis

Volume, an important gauge of investor interest, saw an average weekly growth of 5.85% across all stocks in the malls theme. The monthly numbers showed a decrease of -4.6%, but the quarterly figures rebounded with a robust 15.2% growth.

  • A Volume Feat to Remember:
    • On 6/24/23, Citi Trends stock saw a remarkable surge, achieving a record-breaking daily growth of 419% relative to its 65-Day Volume Moving Average.

Fundamental Analysis Metrics

To provide further insight into the industry's strength, it's worth noting the average fundamental analysis rating. On a scale where 1 is the best and 100 the worst, the malls theme stood at a balanced midpoint.

The malls theme, with its varied market caps and price movements, presents a vibrant tapestry of opportunities for investors. The past month's notable gain is testament to the sector's resilience and potential.\

CRI : On October 20, 2023, the Stochastic Oscillator for CRI exited the overbought region, possibly hinting at a bearish trajectory for the stock. Investors might weigh the option of reducing holdings or adopting a more cautious stance. Historical analysis by A.I.dvisor, referencing 63 analogous events, revealed that the stock demonstrated a decline in 52 instances. This establishes an 83% probability of a forthcoming dip.

AEO : On October 20, 2023, AEO's Aroon Indicator signaled a potential upward trend. The AroonUp green line surpassed 70 while the AroonDown red line remained below 30. Historically, when the upward indicator breaches 70 and the downward one lingers below 30, it suggests a bullish trajectory for the stock. Traders might consider acquiring the stock or exploring call options. Drawing from historical data, A.I.dvisor noted that out of 222 comparable Aroon patterns, 181 witnessed the stock climbing subsequently. This suggests an 82% likelihood of AEO experiencing a positive shift.

GPS : On October 16, 2023, GPS surpassed its upper Bollinger Band, typically suggesting a potential price correction. As the stock may revert below the upper band towards the middle band, investors might contemplate selling the stock or evaluating put options. Analyzing past patterns, A.I.dvisor identified that out of 46 instances when GPS exceeded its upper Bollinger Band, it experienced a decline in 39 cases. This data implies an 85% probability of the stock heading downward.

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