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published in Blogs
Oct 30, 2019
Mattel (MAT, $12.06) crushes earnings and revenue estimates

Mattel (MAT, $12.06) crushes earnings and revenue estimates

Mattel, Inc. reported better-than-expected financial results, and revealed an investigation into its accounting practices.

The toy maker’s earnings per share came in at 26 cents, exceeding analysts’ estimates of 19 cents.

Sales increased +3% year-over-year  to $1.48 billion. Analysts were expecting a decline of -0.5%. The company’s Barbie brand and BTS dolls based on a Korean boy band were major drivers of sales.

 The company also released a separate statement, in which it mentioned that an independent audit into the company found it had misstated financial statements in the last two quarters of 2017, but that there was no impact on the financial results of that year. 

Related Ticker: MAT

MAT in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on June 02, 2026

MAT moved below its 50-day moving average on June 02, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 48 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MAT as a result. In of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MAT turned negative on May 28, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

The 10-day moving average for MAT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on June 04, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 21 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MAT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for MAT entered a downward trend on June 09, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where MAT's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 41 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MAT advanced for three days, in of 294 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

MAT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. MAT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.998) is normal, around the industry mean (3.859). P/E Ratio (9.285) is within average values for comparable stocks, (52.658). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.143) is also within normal values, averaging (1.219). MAT's Dividend Yield (0.000) is considerably lower than the industry average of (0.026). P/S Ratio (0.848) is also within normal values, averaging (4.504).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MAT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are YETI Holdings (NYSE:YETI), Peloton Interactive (NASDAQ:PTON).

Industry description

The Leisure and Recreation Products industry includes companies offering recreational goods/services such as video games, swimming pools, golf courses, boats, outdoor spaces etc. Since these are mainly geared towards consumers, strong employment conditions and healthy incomes generally augur well for the recreational products industry. Some of the largest market caps in this space belong to video game developers (e.g. Activision Blizzard, Electronic Arts and Take-two Interactive), and toy /board game makers (like Hasbro).

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Recreational Products Industry is 2.2B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 5.94K to 27.43B. ANPDF holds the highest valuation in this group at 27.43B. The lowest valued company is CLUBQ at 5.94K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Recreational Products Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -3%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9%. MMA experienced the highest price growth at 43%, while HERE experienced the biggest fall at -23%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Recreational Products Industry was 28%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -31% and the average quarterly volume growth was 51%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 55
P/E Growth Rating: 64
Price Growth Rating: 60
SMR Rating: 100
Profit Risk Rating: 93
Seasonality Score: 12 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a manufacturer of toys

Industry RecreationalProducts

Profile
Details
Industry
Recreational Products
Address
333 Continental Boulevard
Phone
+1 310 252-2000
Employees
31000
Web
https://corporate.mattel.com
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