MAT Mattel Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

MAT's RSI Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory

The RSI Oscillator for MAT moved out of oversold territory on October 01, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 31 of the 38 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 82%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 49 of 65 cases where MAT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 01, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MAT as a result. In 52 of 88 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MAT just turned positive on October 01, 2026. Looking at past instances where MAT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 28 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.

MAT moved above its 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +1.52% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MAT advanced for three days, in 174 of 294 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day moving average for MAT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 11, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 17 of 21 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MAT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.

MAT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 01, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for MAT entered a downward trend on September 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 75 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. MAT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 78 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.907) is normal, around the industry mean (21.512). P/E Ratio (9.963) is within average values for comparable stocks, (43.087). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.915) is also within normal values, averaging (1.411). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.013) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.732) is also within normal values, averaging (5.558).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MAT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.