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Jul 25, 2025
Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) Set to Report Q2 Earnings: $0.81 EPS Forecast and 41.63% YTD Stock Surge

Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) Set to Report Q2 Earnings: $0.81 EPS Forecast and 41.63% YTD Stock Surge

This year, the stock gained +41.63% with an average daily volume of 3 million shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of -22.95% for this period. NDAQ showed earnings on April 24, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.

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Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) stands as a global powerhouse in financial technology, operating one of the world’s most prominent stock exchanges while delivering cutting-edge solutions in capital access, financial technology, and market services. As of July 24, 2025, NDAQ is poised to release its second-quarter earnings, with analysts forecasting earnings per share (EPS) of $0.81, reflecting a 2.99% increase from the prior year. This anticipated growth, coupled with a remarkable year-to-date stock performance of +41.63% and an average daily trading volume of 3 million shares, underscores the company’s robust market presence. This article delves into NDAQ’s financial outlook, market dynamics, trading strategies leveraging Tickeron’s AI tools, and the broader market context influencing its trajectory, offering a comprehensive analysis for investors and traders.

NDAQ’s Financial Performance and Earnings Outlook

Q2 2025 Earnings Expectations

Nasdaq, Inc. is scheduled to announce its Q2 2025 earnings before the market opens on July 24, 2025. Analysts project an EPS of $0.81, a 2.99% rise compared to the $0.79 reported in the same quarter last year. This growth aligns with Nasdaq’s consistent track record of surpassing analyst expectations, having beaten estimates in every quarter over the past year. For instance, in Q1 2025, NDAQ reported an EPS of $0.79, exceeding the consensus estimate of $0.77 by $0.02, with revenues of $1.24 billion against expectations of $1.22 billion. The company’s revenue for Q2 2025 is forecasted at $1.28 billion, a 12% organic increase year-over-year, driven by strength across its Capital Access Platforms, Financial Technology, and Market Services segments.

Historical Financial Metrics

Nasdaq’s financial health is underpinned by strong fundamentals. In Q1 2025, the company achieved a net margin of 16.36% and a return on equity (ROE) of 15.38%, though its ROE lags slightly behind industry averages. The company’s revenue growth of 24.85% in Q1 2025 outpaced competitors in the financial sector, reflecting robust demand for its services. Nasdaq’s EBITDA stands at $2.69 billion, with an EBITDA margin of 34.62%, signaling operational efficiency. The company’s debt-to-equity ratio of 0.77 and liquidity ratios (quick and current) of 0.98 indicate a balanced capital structure and solid liquidity, positioning NDAQ to navigate market volatility effectively.

Dividend Policy and Shareholder Returns

Nasdaq’s commitment to shareholders is evident in its dividend policy. The company recently increased its quarterly dividend to $0.27 per share, payable on June 27, 2025, up from $0.24, yielding an annualized 1.25%. This adjustment reflects confidence in sustained cash flows, with a payout ratio of 49.09%. Additionally, Nasdaq returned $155 million to shareholders in Q2 2025 through dividends and share repurchases, reinforcing its focus on delivering value. The company’s free cash flow of $674 million in Q1 2025 supports ongoing deleveraging and capital allocation strategies.

Stock Performance and Technical Analysis

Year-to-Date Surge and Trading Volume

NDAQ’s stock has exhibited exceptional performance in 2025, gaining 41.63% year-to-date as of July 22, 2025, with shares trading at $88.93. This surge outpaces the S&P 500, driven by positive market sentiment and strong fundamentals. The stock’s average daily trading volume of 3 million shares reflects high liquidity, making it attractive for both institutional and retail investors. Over the past 52 weeks, NDAQ’s stock price has risen 31.27%, with a one-year high of $90.84 on July 10, 2025, and a low of $62.43, highlighting its upward trajectory.

Technical Indicators and Patterns

Technical analysis reveals bullish signals for NDAQ. In June 2025, the stock experienced a 7.67% surge, supported by a “golden cross” in its moving averages, where the 50-day moving average crossed above the 200-day moving average, signaling potential for further gains. The stock’s 50-day moving average stands at $85.91, and the 200-day moving average is $80.16, reinforcing a positive trend. However, recent indicators suggest caution: the 10-day RSI moved out of overbought territory on July 8, 2025, and the MACD histogram turned negative, hinting at possible short-term pullbacks. Despite these signals, the long-term outlook remains optimistic, supported by Tickeron’s Price Growth Rating, which ranks NDAQ’s 12-month price growth as outstanding compared to S&P 500 constituents.

Highly Correlated Stock: Intercontinental Exchange (ICE)

Correlation Analysis

NDAQ exhibits a strong positive correlation with Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE), a leading operator of global exchanges and clearing houses. Over the past year, the correlation coefficient between NDAQ and ICE has been approximately 0.85, indicating that their stock prices move in tandem due to shared exposure to capital markets and financial technology. ICE’s market capitalization of $103.14 billion and its focus on data services and market infrastructure align closely with Nasdaq’s business model. In Q1 2025, ICE reported a 10% revenue increase, mirroring Nasdaq’s growth trajectory. Investors seeking to diversify within the financial exchange sector may consider ICE as a complementary investment, leveraging its similar market dynamics and growth potential. For real-time insights into ICE’s performance, visit Tickeron.com.

Inverse ETF with Highest Anti-Correlation: ProShares Short Financials (SEF)

Anti-Correlation Strategy

For traders looking to hedge against potential downturns in NDAQ or capitalize on bearish sentiment in the financial sector, the ProShares Short Financials ETF (SEF) offers the highest anti-correlation, with a correlation coefficient of approximately -0.78 relative to NDAQ. SEF aims to deliver daily investment results that correspond to the inverse of the Dow Jones U.S. Financials Index, making it an effective tool for mitigating risk in a portfolio heavily weighted toward financial stocks like NDAQ. In 2025, SEF’s performance has been subdued due to the financial sector’s strength, but it remains a valuable hedge during periods of market uncertainty, such as post-earnings volatility. Tickeron’s AI-driven tools, available at Tickeron.com, can help traders identify optimal entry and exit points for SEF, enhancing hedging strategies.

Tickeron’s AI-Powered Trading Solutions

Revolutionizing Trading with Financial Learning Models (FLMs)

Tickeron, a leader in AI-driven trading solutions, has transformed the landscape of algorithmic trading with its proprietary Financial Learning Models (FLMs). These models, akin to large language models in natural language processing, analyze vast datasets—price action, volume, news sentiment, and macroeconomic indicators—to detect patterns and generate precise trading signals. In 2025, Tickeron scaled its AI infrastructure, introducing new AI Trading Agents operating on 15-minute and 5-minute time frames, a significant leap from the industry-standard 60-minute intervals. This advancement enables faster adaptation to intraday market shifts, offering traders an edge in volatile environments.

NDAQ

AI Robots (Signal Agents)

AI Robot’s NameP/LNDAQ – Trading Results AI Trading Agent, 15min970.01%

AI Robots (Virtual Agents)

AI Robot’s NameP/LNDAQ – Trading Results AI Trading Agent, 15min239.01%

AI Trading Agents: Performance and Accessibility

Tickeron’s AI Trading Agents have delivered impressive results for NDAQ. The 15-minute Signal Agent boasts a profit/loss (P/L) of 970.01%, while the Virtual Agent for the same time frame achieves a P/L of 239.01%. These agents, accessible via Tickeron’s Signal Agents and Virtual Agents pages, cater to both novice and experienced traders. The shorter time frames allow for rapid response to market movements, with backtests and forward testing confirming improved trade timing. For real-money trading strategies, Tickeron’s Real Money Agents provide institutional-grade tools, democratizing access to sophisticated trading algorithms.

Trading with Inverse ETFs Using Tickeron’s AI

Tickeron’s AI tools are particularly effective for trading inverse ETFs like SEF in conjunction with NDAQ. By leveraging real-time pattern recognition and predictive analytics, traders can identify optimal moments to enter or exit SEF positions, especially during periods of overbought conditions in NDAQ, as indicated by RSI or MACD signals. Tickeron’s Financial Learning Models adapt to changing market conditions, achieving win rates of up to 86.6% in high-liquidity stocks like NDAQ. Traders can explore these strategies on Tickeron’s platform or follow updates on Tickeron’s X account.

Tickeron’s Product Suite: Empowering Investors

Comprehensive AI-Driven Tools

Tickeron offers a suite of AI-powered products designed to enhance trading and investment decisions:

  • AI Trend Prediction Engine: Forecasts market trends using historical and real-time data, enabling proactive portfolio adjustments.
  • AI Pattern Search Engine: Identifies high-probability trading patterns, such as the golden cross observed in NDAQ, with up to 86.6% accuracy.
  • AI Real-Time Patterns: Detects intraday patterns for short-term trading strategies, ideal for NDAQ’s high-volume market.
  • AI Screener: Filters stocks based on user-defined criteria, helping investors pinpoint opportunities like NDAQ.
  • Time Machine in AI Screener: Simulates historical trading scenarios to test strategies, enhancing decision-making confidence.
  • Daily Buy/Sell Signals: Provides actionable trading recommendations, accessible via Tickeron.com.

These tools, powered by Tickeron’s FLMs, empower investors to navigate complex markets with precision, making them indispensable for trading NDAQ and related assets.

Market News and Sentiment on July 24, 2025

Key Market Movers

On July 24, 2025, the financial markets are abuzz with earnings reports from major players, influencing sentiment around NDAQ. Companies like Honeywell (HON), Union Pacific (UNP), Blackstone (BX), and Keurig Dr. Pepper (KDP) are set to release results before the market opens, while Intel (INTC) and Deckers (DECK) report post-market. The Nasdaq 100 rose 0.36% to 23,146.91 on July 23, 2025, with 62 stocks advancing, reflecting positive momentum in technology and financial sectors. However, bearish signals for NDAQ, such as the negative MACD histogram and RSI exiting overbought territory, suggest potential volatility post-earnings.

Macroeconomic Context

Broader market dynamics are shaped by macroeconomic factors. A ceasefire between Israel and Iran, effective June 24, 2025, has eased geopolitical tensions, boosting market sentiment. However, uncertainties around U.S. trade policies and tariffs following the November 2024 election persist, posing risks to financial stocks like NDAQ. Short interest in Nasdaq securities increased to 15.82 billion shares as of April 15, 2025, indicating some bearish sentiment that traders should monitor. Tickeron’s AI tools can help navigate these risks by providing real-time hedging strategies, accessible at Tickeron.com.

Strategic Outlook for NDAQ

Growth Potential and Risks

Nasdaq’s strong fundamentals, coupled with its 41.63% YTD stock gain and consistent earnings beats, position it for potential further upside. The company’s diversified revenue streams—Capital Access Platforms (11% revenue growth in Q1 2025), Financial Technology (10% revenue growth), and Market Services (19% net revenue growth)—support its resilience. Strategic initiatives, such as the integration of Nasdaq Calypso with the Canton Network for blockchain-based collateral management, enhance its technological edge. However, macroeconomic uncertainties and technical indicators suggesting short-term pullbacks warrant caution. Traders can leverage Tickeron’s AI tools to capitalize on NDAQ’s momentum while hedging against risks using inverse ETFs like SEF.

Investment Recommendations

For long-term investors, NDAQ’s robust growth, dividend yield, and market leadership make it a compelling buy-and-hold candidate. Short-term traders should monitor post-earnings volatility, using Tickeron’s 15-minute and 5-minute AI Trading Agents to time entries and exits. The stock’s high correlation with ICE offers diversification opportunities, while SEF provides a hedge against sector downturns. Visit Tickeron.com for real-time analytics and trading signals to optimize NDAQ strategies.

Conclusion

Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) stands at a pivotal juncture as it approaches its Q2 2025 earnings on July 24, with analysts expecting an EPS of $0.81 and revenue of $1.28 billion. The stock’s 41.63% YTD gain, high trading volume, and bullish technical patterns like the golden cross signal strong growth potential, though short-term risks remain. Tickeron’s AI-powered tools, including its advanced Financial Learning Models and new 15-minute and 5-minute Trading Agents, offer unparalleled precision for trading NDAQ and related assets like ICE and SEF. As market dynamics evolve, Tickeron’s comprehensive product suite empowers investors to seize opportunities and manage risks effectively. Stay updated on NDAQ’s performance and trading strategies via Tickeron.com and Tickeron’s X account.

Disclaimers and Limitations

Related Ticker: NDAQ, ICE

NDAQ in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on July 09, 2026

NDAQ moved above its 50-day moving average on July 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 34 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on July 02, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on NDAQ as a result. In of 80 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NDAQ just turned positive on July 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where NDAQ's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 41 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The 10-day moving average for NDAQ crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on July 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NDAQ advanced for three days, in of 366 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

NDAQ may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NDAQ declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for NDAQ entered a downward trend on July 08, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NDAQ’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.429) is normal, around the industry mean (5.646). P/E Ratio (28.389) is within average values for comparable stocks, (26.342). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.234) is also within normal values, averaging (2.118). Dividend Yield (0.012) settles around the average of (0.018) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.545) is also within normal values, averaging (8.525).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are CME Group (NASDAQ:CME).

Industry description

The financial publishing /services sector includes companies that provide informational products and services that are of value to investors, financial/analytics professionals and other interested readers. The products include real-time stock quotes, financial news and analyses. Think S&P Global, Inc., Moody`s Corporation, Thomson-Reuters Corp and IHS Markit Ltd. Information is critical in making financial or investment decisions, and what makes this industry’s output relevant at all times, across various economic conditions.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Financial Publishing/Services Industry is 40B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 2.48M to 135.38B. SPGI holds the highest valuation in this group at 135.38B. The lowest valued company is BTOG at 2.48M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Financial Publishing/Services Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8%. FDS experienced the highest price growth at 8%, while BTOG experienced the biggest fall at -20%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Financial Publishing/Services Industry was 2%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -36% and the average quarterly volume growth was -47%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 47
P/E Growth Rating: 76
Price Growth Rating: 55
SMR Rating: 55
Profit Risk Rating: 78
Seasonality Score: 47 (-100 ... +100)
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