Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) Set to Report Q2 Earnings: $0.81 EPS Forecast and 41.63% YTD Stock Surge
This year, the stock gained +41.63% with an average daily volume of 3 million shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of -22.95% for this period. NDAQ showed earnings on April 24, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) stands as a global powerhouse in financial technology, operating one of the world’s most prominent stock exchanges while delivering cutting-edge solutions in capital access, financial technology, and market services. As of July 24, 2025, NDAQ is poised to release its second-quarter earnings, with analysts forecasting earnings per share (EPS) of $0.81, reflecting a 2.99% increase from the prior year. This anticipated growth, coupled with a remarkable year-to-date stock performance of +41.63% and an average daily trading volume of 3 million shares, underscores the company’s robust market presence. This article delves into NDAQ’s financial outlook, market dynamics, trading strategies leveraging Tickeron’s AI tools, and the broader market context influencing its trajectory, offering a comprehensive analysis for investors and traders.
NDAQ’s Financial Performance and Earnings Outlook
Q2 2025 Earnings Expectations
Nasdaq, Inc. is scheduled to announce its Q2 2025 earnings before the market opens on July 24, 2025. Analysts project an EPS of $0.81, a 2.99% rise compared to the $0.79 reported in the same quarter last year. This growth aligns with Nasdaq’s consistent track record of surpassing analyst expectations, having beaten estimates in every quarter over the past year. For instance, in Q1 2025, NDAQ reported an EPS of $0.79, exceeding the consensus estimate of $0.77 by $0.02, with revenues of $1.24 billion against expectations of $1.22 billion. The company’s revenue for Q2 2025 is forecasted at $1.28 billion, a 12% organic increase year-over-year, driven by strength across its Capital Access Platforms, Financial Technology, and Market Services segments.
Historical Financial Metrics
Nasdaq’s financial health is underpinned by strong fundamentals. In Q1 2025, the company achieved a net margin of 16.36% and a return on equity (ROE) of 15.38%, though its ROE lags slightly behind industry averages. The company’s revenue growth of 24.85% in Q1 2025 outpaced competitors in the financial sector, reflecting robust demand for its services. Nasdaq’s EBITDA stands at $2.69 billion, with an EBITDA margin of 34.62%, signaling operational efficiency. The company’s debt-to-equity ratio of 0.77 and liquidity ratios (quick and current) of 0.98 indicate a balanced capital structure and solid liquidity, positioning NDAQ to navigate market volatility effectively.
Dividend Policy and Shareholder Returns
Nasdaq’s commitment to shareholders is evident in its dividend policy. The company recently increased its quarterly dividend to $0.27 per share, payable on June 27, 2025, up from $0.24, yielding an annualized 1.25%. This adjustment reflects confidence in sustained cash flows, with a payout ratio of 49.09%. Additionally, Nasdaq returned $155 million to shareholders in Q2 2025 through dividends and share repurchases, reinforcing its focus on delivering value. The company’s free cash flow of $674 million in Q1 2025 supports ongoing deleveraging and capital allocation strategies.
Stock Performance and Technical Analysis
Year-to-Date Surge and Trading Volume
NDAQ’s stock has exhibited exceptional performance in 2025, gaining 41.63% year-to-date as of July 22, 2025, with shares trading at $88.93. This surge outpaces the S&P 500, driven by positive market sentiment and strong fundamentals. The stock’s average daily trading volume of 3 million shares reflects high liquidity, making it attractive for both institutional and retail investors. Over the past 52 weeks, NDAQ’s stock price has risen 31.27%, with a one-year high of $90.84 on July 10, 2025, and a low of $62.43, highlighting its upward trajectory.
Technical Indicators and Patterns
Technical analysis reveals bullish signals for NDAQ. In June 2025, the stock experienced a 7.67% surge, supported by a “golden cross” in its moving averages, where the 50-day moving average crossed above the 200-day moving average, signaling potential for further gains. The stock’s 50-day moving average stands at $85.91, and the 200-day moving average is $80.16, reinforcing a positive trend. However, recent indicators suggest caution: the 10-day RSI moved out of overbought territory on July 8, 2025, and the MACD histogram turned negative, hinting at possible short-term pullbacks. Despite these signals, the long-term outlook remains optimistic, supported by Tickeron’s Price Growth Rating, which ranks NDAQ’s 12-month price growth as outstanding compared to S&P 500 constituents.
Highly Correlated Stock: Intercontinental Exchange (ICE)
Correlation Analysis
NDAQ exhibits a strong positive correlation with Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE), a leading operator of global exchanges and clearing houses. Over the past year, the correlation coefficient between NDAQ and ICE has been approximately 0.85, indicating that their stock prices move in tandem due to shared exposure to capital markets and financial technology. ICE’s market capitalization of $103.14 billion and its focus on data services and market infrastructure align closely with Nasdaq’s business model. In Q1 2025, ICE reported a 10% revenue increase, mirroring Nasdaq’s growth trajectory. Investors seeking to diversify within the financial exchange sector may consider ICE as a complementary investment, leveraging its similar market dynamics and growth potential. For real-time insights into ICE’s performance, visit Tickeron.com.
Inverse ETF with Highest Anti-Correlation: ProShares Short Financials (SEF)
Anti-Correlation Strategy
For traders looking to hedge against potential downturns in NDAQ or capitalize on bearish sentiment in the financial sector, the ProShares Short Financials ETF (SEF) offers the highest anti-correlation, with a correlation coefficient of approximately -0.78 relative to NDAQ. SEF aims to deliver daily investment results that correspond to the inverse of the Dow Jones U.S. Financials Index, making it an effective tool for mitigating risk in a portfolio heavily weighted toward financial stocks like NDAQ. In 2025, SEF’s performance has been subdued due to the financial sector’s strength, but it remains a valuable hedge during periods of market uncertainty, such as post-earnings volatility. Tickeron’s AI-driven tools, available at Tickeron.com, can help traders identify optimal entry and exit points for SEF, enhancing hedging strategies.
Tickeron’s AI-Powered Trading Solutions
Revolutionizing Trading with Financial Learning Models (FLMs)
Tickeron, a leader in AI-driven trading solutions, has transformed the landscape of algorithmic trading with its proprietary Financial Learning Models (FLMs). These models, akin to large language models in natural language processing, analyze vast datasets—price action, volume, news sentiment, and macroeconomic indicators—to detect patterns and generate precise trading signals. In 2025, Tickeron scaled its AI infrastructure, introducing new AI Trading Agents operating on 15-minute and 5-minute time frames, a significant leap from the industry-standard 60-minute intervals. This advancement enables faster adaptation to intraday market shifts, offering traders an edge in volatile environments.
AI Robots (Signal Agents)
AI Robot’s NameP/LNDAQ – Trading Results AI Trading Agent, 15min970.01%
AI Robots (Virtual Agents)
AI Robot’s NameP/LNDAQ – Trading Results AI Trading Agent, 15min239.01%
AI Trading Agents: Performance and Accessibility
Tickeron’s AI Trading Agents have delivered impressive results for NDAQ. The 15-minute Signal Agent boasts a profit/loss (P/L) of 970.01%, while the Virtual Agent for the same time frame achieves a P/L of 239.01%. These agents, accessible via Tickeron’s Signal Agents and Virtual Agents pages, cater to both novice and experienced traders. The shorter time frames allow for rapid response to market movements, with backtests and forward testing confirming improved trade timing. For real-money trading strategies, Tickeron’s Real Money Agents provide institutional-grade tools, democratizing access to sophisticated trading algorithms.
Trading with Inverse ETFs Using Tickeron’s AI
Tickeron’s AI tools are particularly effective for trading inverse ETFs like SEF in conjunction with NDAQ. By leveraging real-time pattern recognition and predictive analytics, traders can identify optimal moments to enter or exit SEF positions, especially during periods of overbought conditions in NDAQ, as indicated by RSI or MACD signals. Tickeron’s Financial Learning Models adapt to changing market conditions, achieving win rates of up to 86.6% in high-liquidity stocks like NDAQ. Traders can explore these strategies on Tickeron’s platform or follow updates on Tickeron’s X account.
Tickeron’s Product Suite: Empowering Investors
Tickeron offers a suite of AI-powered products designed to enhance trading and investment decisions:
- AI Trend Prediction Engine: Forecasts market trends using historical and real-time data, enabling proactive portfolio adjustments.
- AI Pattern Search Engine: Identifies high-probability trading patterns, such as the golden cross observed in NDAQ, with up to 86.6% accuracy.
- AI Real-Time Patterns: Detects intraday patterns for short-term trading strategies, ideal for NDAQ’s high-volume market.
- AI Screener: Filters stocks based on user-defined criteria, helping investors pinpoint opportunities like NDAQ.
- Time Machine in AI Screener: Simulates historical trading scenarios to test strategies, enhancing decision-making confidence.
- Daily Buy/Sell Signals: Provides actionable trading recommendations, accessible via Tickeron.com.
These tools, powered by Tickeron’s FLMs, empower investors to navigate complex markets with precision, making them indispensable for trading NDAQ and related assets.
Market News and Sentiment on July 24, 2025
Key Market Movers
On July 24, 2025, the financial markets are abuzz with earnings reports from major players, influencing sentiment around NDAQ. Companies like Honeywell (HON), Union Pacific (UNP), Blackstone (BX), and Keurig Dr. Pepper (KDP) are set to release results before the market opens, while Intel (INTC) and Deckers (DECK) report post-market. The Nasdaq 100 rose 0.36% to 23,146.91 on July 23, 2025, with 62 stocks advancing, reflecting positive momentum in technology and financial sectors. However, bearish signals for NDAQ, such as the negative MACD histogram and RSI exiting overbought territory, suggest potential volatility post-earnings.
Macroeconomic Context
Broader market dynamics are shaped by macroeconomic factors. A ceasefire between Israel and Iran, effective June 24, 2025, has eased geopolitical tensions, boosting market sentiment. However, uncertainties around U.S. trade policies and tariffs following the November 2024 election persist, posing risks to financial stocks like NDAQ. Short interest in Nasdaq securities increased to 15.82 billion shares as of April 15, 2025, indicating some bearish sentiment that traders should monitor. Tickeron’s AI tools can help navigate these risks by providing real-time hedging strategies, accessible at Tickeron.com.
Strategic Outlook for NDAQ
Growth Potential and Risks
Nasdaq’s strong fundamentals, coupled with its 41.63% YTD stock gain and consistent earnings beats, position it for potential further upside. The company’s diversified revenue streams—Capital Access Platforms (11% revenue growth in Q1 2025), Financial Technology (10% revenue growth), and Market Services (19% net revenue growth)—support its resilience. Strategic initiatives, such as the integration of Nasdaq Calypso with the Canton Network for blockchain-based collateral management, enhance its technological edge. However, macroeconomic uncertainties and technical indicators suggesting short-term pullbacks warrant caution. Traders can leverage Tickeron’s AI tools to capitalize on NDAQ’s momentum while hedging against risks using inverse ETFs like SEF.
Investment Recommendations
For long-term investors, NDAQ’s robust growth, dividend yield, and market leadership make it a compelling buy-and-hold candidate. Short-term traders should monitor post-earnings volatility, using Tickeron’s 15-minute and 5-minute AI Trading Agents to time entries and exits. The stock’s high correlation with ICE offers diversification opportunities, while SEF provides a hedge against sector downturns. Visit Tickeron.com for real-time analytics and trading signals to optimize NDAQ strategies.
Conclusion
Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) stands at a pivotal juncture as it approaches its Q2 2025 earnings on July 24, with analysts expecting an EPS of $0.81 and revenue of $1.28 billion. The stock’s 41.63% YTD gain, high trading volume, and bullish technical patterns like the golden cross signal strong growth potential, though short-term risks remain. Tickeron’s AI-powered tools, including its advanced Financial Learning Models and new 15-minute and 5-minute Trading Agents, offer unparalleled precision for trading NDAQ and related assets like ICE and SEF. As market dynamics evolve, Tickeron’s comprehensive product suite empowers investors to seize opportunities and manage risks effectively. Stay updated on NDAQ’s performance and trading strategies via Tickeron.com and Tickeron’s X account.
Contributor
Serhii Bondarenko is an AI-focused trading strategist and financial markets analyst specializing in the development and application of AI trading bots and autonomous trading agents. His work combines technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and quantitative research to identify market patterns, forecast price movements, and analyze liquidity, volatility, and correlations across global stock markets. Serhii actively publishes market insights, forecasts, and trading frameworks on platforms such as Investing.com and Finextra, with a strong focus on AI-driven decision-making and next-generation algorithmic trading. His research aims to bridge the gap between traditional trading methodologies and advanced artificial intelligence, helping traders and investors navigate complex and rapidly evolving market conditions.
NDAQ in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on September 08, 2026
NDAQ may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 21 of 32 cases where NDAQ's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where NDAQ's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 14 of 23 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +2.15% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NDAQ advanced for three days, in 226 of 357 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NDAQ as a result. In 42 of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NDAQ turned negative on September 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 22 of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 51%.
NDAQ moved below its 50-day moving average on September 24, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for NDAQ crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NDAQ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.
The Aroon Indicator for NDAQ entered a downward trend on September 25, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NDAQ’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 52 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 83 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.318) is normal, around the industry mean (-5.093). P/E Ratio (27.003) is within average values for comparable stocks, (25.252). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.712) is also within normal values, averaging (1.780). Dividend Yield (0.013) settles around the average of (0.018) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.831) is also within normal values, averaging (7.166).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
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